TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
During a political debate among candidates, specific phrases may be mentioned that reflect key issues or themes relevant to voters and public discourse. The occurrence or absence of these phrases can indicate the focus areas of candidates and the priorities they emphasize during their discussions.
The event involves multiple markets, each centered on whether specific phrases are uttered by any participating candidate during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the debate; if inconclusive, official transcripts are used. Markets resolve to Yes if the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, is spoken by a candidate in an official capacity. The debate must be open to press for live broadcast or streaming; pre-recorded or separate content does not count. If the event is canceled or fails to meet criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. Each market operates independently based on the utterance of its designated phrase.
Between now and Aug 18, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Key developments include last-minute polling surges, candidate gaffes or strong performances in warm-up events, and endorsements from influential local figures. Media coverage leading up to the debate may also frame expectations, pushing odds toward certain outcomes. Traded volume of $109,433 over 24 hours suggests current liquidity, but a sudden surge in betting activity could amplify price swings. Any controversy or policy announcement from campaigns in the final days will likely be the most impactful, reshaping trader sentiment rapidly as Aug 18, 2026 approaches.