TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will the candidates say during the Arizona Governor Debate?
kalshi

What will the candidates say during the Arizona Governor Debate?

Volume:
$57,968

Border

 - Kalshi

Border - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 18, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 10:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Border

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,279
N/A
N/A
$5,260
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,819
N/A
N/A
$3,653
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Data Center

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,589
N/A
N/A
$3,319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,845
N/A
N/A
$2,631
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,657
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Water

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
$2,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Healthcare

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,758
N/A
N/A
$1,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,630
N/A
N/A
$1,310
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,859
N/A
N/A
$18,587
Settled
No
kalshi

Common Sense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,767
N/A
N/A
$4,607
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,000
N/A
N/A
$2,547
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,517
N/A
N/A
$2,388
Settled
No
kalshi

Alien

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
$1,756
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
$829
Settled
No
kalshi

Taco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$729
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
$649
Settled
No
kalshi

Second Amendment

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$734
N/A
N/A
$629
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks whether specific words or phrases are mentioned by any participating candidate during the Arizona Republican Primary Debate for Governor. The debate must be a live televised or streamed event open to the press, and candidates must speak in an official capacity for statements to count.

Kalshi

The Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary event consists of multiple phrase-mention markets tracking whether participating candidates speak specific words or terms during the live debate. Resolution is based on the live broadcast or stream, with video as the primary source and official transcripts as secondary verification if consensus cannot be reached. Each market resolves to Yes if any participating candidate uses the exact phrase or word (including plural or possessive forms) while speaking in an official capacity during the debate. Grammatical and tense inflections do not count as variations. The event must be opened to the press for live televised or streamed broadcast to qualify; previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings from separate events do not count. Candidates must be present and speaking officially—inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements picked up on hot microphones do not qualify. If the debate is cancelled or fails to meet qualification criteria, all phrase-mention markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If the debate is postponed but rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open pending the rescheduled event.

Frequently asked questions

The Arizona Governor Debate mentions market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for specific statements or topics expected to surface during the debate. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction that particular phrases, policy positions, or candidate names will be mentioned on stage. The dashboard displays current pricing, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $56,362, giving you a live window into what the prediction market community expects to hear.

Prediction market odds aggregate the collective judgment of traders with real money at stake, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts because markets reward accuracy and punish poor predictions immediately. While political analysts and pollsters rely on historical models and survey data, this market reflects dynamic expectations shaped by debate preparation coverage, candidate positioning, and recent news cycles. Traders continuously update their positions as new information emerges, making market odds a forward-looking signal distinct from static analyst predictions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each potential mention outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from near zero to near 100, representing the implied probability that a given statement will occur during the debate. As traders buy and sell, the price adjusts in real time, with higher prices indicating stronger collective confidence in that outcome and lower prices reflecting skepticism.

This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, after the Arizona Governor Debate concludes and the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether the specific mentions tracked in each contract actually occur during the live debate broadcast. Once the debate concludes and statements can be confirmed, this market will settle based on what was genuinely said on stage.

Market prices will shift as new debate preparation details emerge, including candidate schedules, announced topics, and recent policy announcements. Breaking news affecting either candidate's standing or debate readiness can trigger sharp repricing. As the debate date approaches, media coverage intensifying focus on specific issues or gaffes will influence trader expectations about what will be discussed. Finally, any debate preview events, town halls, or candidate statements in the days before the event will shape final odds.