TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
During the Spain vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026, broadcasters will provide live commentary covering the action on the field. These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned by play-by-play or color commentators during the match broadcast.
Resolution is determined by monitoring official broadcast commentary from the Spain vs Cape Verde FIFA World Cup match. Video of the match will be the primary source for resolution; official transcripts will be used if video consensus cannot be reached. Commentary is counted from kickoff through the final whistle, including extra time and penalty shootouts, but ends once the referee's final decision is made (or VAR review concludes if applicable). Promotional content aired during the broadcast counts toward resolution, but paid advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from other times, places, or events are excluded. The exact phrase or word must be used; plural and possessive forms are acceptable, but other grammatical variations are not. If the match is cancelled or fails to qualify under these criteria, or if any circumstance prevents normal resolution, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If the match is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, often reflecting ground-truth expectations more accurately than traditional analyst surveys. While sports commentators and broadcast analysts may offer qualitative insights into likely talking points, this market quantifies those expectations through price discovery. Traders continuously update odds based on team news, player form, and historical broadcast patterns, creating a dynamic benchmark that typically outperforms static forecasts over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing different announcer commentary outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information surfaces—team lineups, injury reports, or broadcast previews—the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing market rate.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, following the conclusion of the Spain vs Cape Verde match. The outcome is determined by verification against credible public sources, including official broadcast recordings and reputable sports media coverage. Once the event is complete and commentary can be confirmed, the market settles based on whether the specified announcer statements were actually made during the broadcast.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which shape expected tactical discussion. Pre-match analyst commentary and broadcaster previews can signal which themes announcers plan to emphasize. During the match itself, dramatic moments—goals, red cards, or standout individual performances—typically drive unexpected commentary and shift trader expectations. Historical broadcast patterns for major tournaments also influence positioning, as traders anticipate recurring talking points around player form, coaching decisions, and tournament context.