TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 10:55 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams will be monitored for whether commentators mention specific baseball terminology or situations during play, such as notable plays, game situations, or ballpark references.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each potential announcer mention is priced as a separate binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring during the broadcast. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with the midpoint representing the market's central estimate. Higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction that an announcer will say that phrase. Volume and liquidity vary by outcome; popular mentions typically trade more actively. Prices update continuously as new information or sentiment emerges, allowing traders to enter or exit positions before the game begins.
The market resolves on Jun 20, 2026, shortly after the conclusion of the Royals vs Twins broadcast. Resolution is determined by whether each specific announcer statement actually occurs during the game commentary. Outcomes are verified against the official broadcast recording to confirm which phrases were spoken. Each contract resolves independently based on whether its corresponding statement was heard during the announcers' commentary. Traders should monitor the broadcast closely to track which mentions materialize.
Market prices for announcer mentions may shift based on pre-game roster announcements, injury reports, or lineup changes that affect game narrative. Breaking news about players or team storylines could increase odds for related commentary. As game time approaches, trader sentiment may consolidate around likely talking points. During the broadcast itself, early innings set the tone for which themes announcers emphasize, potentially moving odds for related phrases. Unexpected game developments like scoring runs or defensive plays can trigger immediate shifts in what announcers are likely to mention next.