TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific words and phrases that official broadcast commentators (play-by-play, color commentators, rules analysts, or sideline reporters) may say during the Red Sox vs Mets game scheduled for July 10, 2026. Resolution depends on whether any of the tracked terms are mentioned in the national broadcast or home team local broadcast if not nationally televised.
Resolution is determined by monitoring official broadcast commentary from the Red Sox vs Mets game scheduled for July 10, 2026. Commentary counting begins following the first pitch and ends upon game conclusion, including any extra innings. If the final play is under review, commentary ends following the umpire's decision. Only statements from official broadcast team members (play-by-play announcers, color commentators, rules analysts, and sideline reporters) qualify; commentary from players, coaches, umpires, guests, or halftime reporters does not count. Commercials featuring broadcast commentators are excluded, but promotional content within the game broadcast counts. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Resolution uses the national broadcast when available; otherwise, the home team's local broadcast is used. Video of the game is the primary resolution source, with official transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs rather than traditional analyst predictions. While sports analysts might forecast game outcomes or player performance based on statistics and expertise, this market captures what actual broadcasters will say—a more niche forecast that combines knowledge of announcing styles, team narratives, and likely talking points. Traders pricing outcomes here often incorporate media coverage, recent team news, and historical announcer patterns. The market's odds can diverge from casual expectations because they're continuously updated by participants with real financial stakes, creating a dynamic, crowd-sourced probability that may outperform static analyst commentary for specific verbal predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible announcer statement. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the implied probability that traders assign to it. As demand for a particular phrase or mention increases, its price rises; conversely, reduced interest lowers it. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and uncertainty. This continuous pricing model ensures that odds adjust in real time as new information surfaces and trader conviction shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, after the Red Sox and Mets game concludes and broadcast footage becomes available for review. The outcome is determined by verifying what the announcers actually said against credible public sources, including official broadcast recordings and reputable sports media archives. Once the game ends and statements can be confirmed, this market will settle based on which outcomes match the verified announcer commentary. Traders should monitor the game broadcast closely and be prepared for resolution once the event is complete and statements are independently verifiable.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the game begins. Breaking team news—injuries, roster changes, or trade announcements—may alter what announcers are likely to emphasize. Media narratives around the Red Sox or Mets, recent performance trends, or playoff implications could influence broadcaster focus. Announcer roster changes or confirmed broadcasting assignments might also matter, since different broadcasters favor different talking points. As game time approaches, updated weather forecasts, betting line movements, or viral social media discussions about the matchup could sway trader expectations. Finally, any pre-game statements from players, managers, or team officials may hint at themes announcers will highlight, prompting market repricing in the final hours before first pitch.