TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 5:25 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup match between Qatar and Switzerland will be broadcast, with commentary monitoring for specific keywords related to game events, player achievements, notable moments, and sponsor mentions.
Resolution is based on whether commentators use the exact phrase or word, including plural or possessive forms, during live commentary. Commentary begins following kickoff and ends once the match concludes, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Commentary stops following the referee's final whistle or, if the final action is under VAR review, following the referee's decision. The broadcast used is determined by availability and location. Promotional content counts, but advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate events are excluded. If the match is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
On Kalshi, each potential announcer statement is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with higher prices indicating stronger market confidence that the statement will be said during the broadcast. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe an outcome is underpriced, or sell at higher prices if they think it is overpriced. The final price reflects the collective judgment of all market participants and adjusts continuously as new bets flow in. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and broadcast recordings confirm whether each specific announcer statement was actually made.
The market resolves on Jun 27, 2026, following the conclusion of the Qatar vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup match. Resolution is determined by reviewing official broadcast recordings and announcer commentary to verify whether each specific statement was actually said during the match. Each outcome is independently assessed based on the exact wording and context specified in the market description. Once the broadcast is complete and recordings are reviewed, outcomes are marked as either occurred or did not occur. Traders' positions settle based on the final determination, with winning contracts paying out in full and losing contracts expiring worthless.
Market prices for announcer statements may shift based on team news, injury updates, and pre-match narratives that influence broadcast focus. If key players are ruled out or tactical changes emerge, announcers will likely emphasize different storylines, moving odds on related statements. Team form, recent head-to-head history, and geopolitical context surrounding Qatar and Switzerland could all shape commentary themes. As the match approaches, betting activity typically increases, reflecting stronger conviction from informed traders. During the match itself, live events—goals, red cards, or unexpected performances—will cause announcers to pivot their focus, though market prices cannot adjust after the broadcast concludes.