TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks specific phrases spoken by official broadcast commentators during a women's professional basketball game. The outcome depends on whether any commentator uses predefined terms related to the game or players during the live broadcast.
The market resolves based on whether any official broadcast commentator—defined as play-by-play, color commentator, rules analyst, or sideline reporter—uses specified phrases during the NY Liberty vs PHX Mercury Women's Professional Basketball Game scheduled for August 1, 2026. Commentary is evaluated from tip-off until the game concludes, including overtime periods, but stops if the final play is under review. The resolution relies on the national broadcast; if not nationally televised, the home team's local broadcast is used. Commercials are excluded, but promotional content within the broadcast counts. Only commentary from the official broadcast team qualifies; input from players, coaches, referees, guests, or halftime reporters does not. Video footage is the primary source for resolution, with official transcripts serving as a backup if consensus cannot be reached. Postponements announced within 14 days keep markets open, while definitive cancellations or failures to meet criteria result in the 'Event does not qualify' market resolving to Yes, nullifying others.
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on historical performance or team statistics, this market incorporates crowd-sourced speculation directly from traders. While analysts might focus on player performance or past game trends, prediction market odds reflect aggregated bets on what announcers are likely to emphasize, such as standout plays, key player achievements, or dramatic moments.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game’s broadcast is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the final whistle, officials will compare announcer dialogue against the listed outcomes to determine which market contracts were correct, closing all positions based on that verified result.
Key moments such as player injuries, standout performances, or controversial calls during the game can shift trader expectations and move this market sharply. Pre-game media hype around certain players or storylines may also create early volatility, while last-minute lineup changes or weather impacts could alter what announcers choose to highlight as the action unfolds.