TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 2:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks specific phrases spoken by official broadcast commentators during a professional baseball game between New York Y and Chicago C. The resolution depends on whether certain exact terms related to game events, players, or situations are uttered by authorized commentators during the live broadcast.
The market resolves based on whether any official broadcast commentator—defined as play-by-play, color commentator, rules analyst, or sideline reporter—uses specified exact phrases during the New York Y vs Chicago C Professional Baseball Game scheduled for August 1, 2026. Valid commentary must occur after the first pitch and before the game concludes, including any extra innings, but stops once the final inning ends or after umpire decisions if the final play is under review. National broadcast commentary is used for resolution; if unavailable, the home team's local broadcast applies. Commercials are excluded, but promotional content within the game broadcast counts. Only commentary from the official broadcast team qualifies—statements from players, coaches, referees, guests, or non-broadcast personnel are invalid. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the game; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are consulted. If the event is canceled, fails to meet criteria, or cannot resolve normally, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within the following calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that certain phrases or remarks are more likely to be spoken during the broadcast. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may focus on broader game dynamics or player performance metrics. Prediction market prices incorporate real-time betting activity and can react quickly to new information, offering a distinct viewpoint compared to written expert analyses.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game’s broadcast is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to the actual announcer remarks during the New York Y vs Chicago C matchup to determine which specified statement occurred.
Between now and Aug 15, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Key factors include pre-game press conferences, social media commentary from players or coaches, and early-inning game developments that might prompt specific types of commentary. Any surprising player performances, controversial calls, or weather-related delays could also influence traders' expectations about which phrases announcers will emphasize during the broadcast.