TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether announcers will mention Powerade during the Netherlands vs Sweden soccer match. The leading outcome currently stands at 1.0%, with the alternative outcome also at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official play-by-play and color commentary, with Yes resolving if either the play-by-play or color commentator says Powerade at any point during the match from kickoff through the final whistle, including extra time and penalty shootouts if applicable. Watch for the match kickoff on June 20, 2026, when the betting window closes and the commentary monitoring period begins.
Resolution requires exact phrase/word matches or their plural/possessive forms, with grammatical/tense inflections not required. Commentary counting begins at kickoff and ends when the match concludes, inclusive of extra time and penalty shootouts, but stops following the referee's final whistle or VAR decision. Promotional content aired during the event counts toward resolution, but advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times, places, or events are excluded. If the match is cancelled or fails to qualify under these criteria, or if any circumstance prevents normal resolution, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If the match is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets price in live information and collective wisdom. While sports commentators and media analysts may predict certain phrases or themes based on team history and player storylines, this market aggregates thousands of individual bets into a single probability. Traders betting on specific announcer commentary must weigh script likelihood, broadcaster style, and match context—factors that pure analyst opinion may weight differently. The market's pricing typically converges toward accuracy as event time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible announcer statement. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from near zero to near 100, representing the implied probability of each outcome. As traders place bids and asks, the spread tightens or widens based on conviction and available liquidity. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, so prices adjust continuously as new information emerges and trading interest shifts between different commentary outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Netherlands vs Sweden match concludes and broadcast commentary can be verified. The outcome is confirmed by comparing actual announcer statements against the predefined options in each contract. Resolution relies on credible public sources—typically official broadcast recordings or reputable sports media documentation—to establish what was said during the game. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure their positions align with their expectations.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or recent form—may influence what commentators emphasize during their coverage. Broadcaster assignments and known announcer tendencies also matter; if a particular commentator known for certain phrases is confirmed, odds on related outcomes may shift. Pre-match hype, social media trends, and historical commentary patterns from previous Netherlands-Sweden encounters can all sway trader expectations. Finally, any breaking news about the match venue, weather, or geopolitical context could prompt commentators to reference specific themes, moving relevant outcome probabilities.