TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned by commentators during a FIFA World Cup match between two teams. The event monitors commentary throughout the match for a diverse set of terms ranging from common soccer terminology to player names, brand names, and location references. If any of these specified words are spoken during the broadcast, or if none of them are mentioned at all, the market resolves affirmatively.
Markets resolve based on whether commentators use exact phrases or their plural/possessive forms during the Mexico vs South Africa FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 11, 2026. Grammatical and tense inflections beyond pluralization and possessives are not counted as variations. Commentary counting begins at kickoff and continues through the conclusion of the match, including extra time and penalty shootouts, ending when the referee's final whistle sounds or VAR review concludes. Video of the match is the primary resolution source; official transcripts are used if video consensus cannot be reached. Promotional content aired during the event counts, but advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times or events are excluded. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify under the payout criterion, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
On Kalshi, announcer mention outcomes are priced as binary or categorical contracts reflecting the probability traders assign to specific statements being spoken during the Mexico vs South Africa match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing implied probability. Traders buy contracts if they believe an announcer will say a particular phrase or reference, and sell if they disagree. Prices adjust continuously based on order flow, match context, team news, and lineup announcements, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution on Jun 25, 2026.
The market resolves after the Mexico vs South Africa FIFA World Cup match concludes on Jun 25, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether the specified announcer statements are actually spoken during live broadcast commentary. Outcomes are verified against official match recordings and broadcast transcripts to confirm whether phrases, player names, team references, or other commentary elements occurred as described in each contract. Once the match ends and broadcast review is complete, contracts settle based on whether the stated conditions were met.
Several factors can shift odds before the match on Jun 25, 2026. Official team lineups and injury announcements influence which players announcers are likely to emphasize. Pre-match narratives, historical rivalries, and geopolitical context shape commentary themes. Betting patterns and trader activity on Kalshi itself can move prices as new information emerges. Media coverage, player transfers, or recent performance trends may increase focus on specific storylines. Additionally, broadcast network changes or announcer roster updates could alter typical commentary style. Real-time odds reflect all available information, so monitor the dashboard closely as kickoff approaches.