TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 10:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether specific baseball commentary phrases are mentioned during a professional baseball game between two teams. The market resolves based on whether commentators discuss notable game events such as outstanding plays, rule applications, or significant moments during the broadcast.
Resolution is based on whether play-by-play or color commentators use the exact phrase or word (or plural/possessive forms) during the game. Commentary counting begins following the first pitch and continues until the game concludes, including extra innings, and extends through umpire decisions on final plays under review. The national broadcast is the primary source; if unavailable, the home team local broadcast is used. Promotional content aired during the event counts, but advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times or events are excluded. If the game is cancelled or fails to qualify under these criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If postponed with announcement by end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.
On Kalshi, each potential announcer statement is priced as a separate binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring during the Mariners vs Orioles broadcast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contracts trade continuously between 0 and 100 cents, with the midpoint representing the market's consensus likelihood. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overvalued, driving prices toward fair value. Volume and liquidity vary by outcome, with more prominent or team-specific mentions typically attracting deeper order books than niche statements.
The market resolves on Jun 25, 2026, after the conclusion of the Mariners vs Orioles game broadcast. Resolution is determined by verification of the actual announcer statements made during the live game coverage. Each outcome contract settles to 100 cents if the specified phrase or mention was broadcast, or to 0 cents if it was not. The resolution process relies on official broadcast records and documented commentary to confirm which statements were made.
Market prices may shift based on roster changes, injury updates, or breaking news about either team that could influence broadcast focus. Pre-game storylines—such as player milestones, playoff implications, or head-to-head records—often drive announcer emphasis and can move odds on related mentions. Weather conditions, game momentum, and score dynamics during the broadcast itself will directly impact which statements announcers choose to emphasize. Trading activity and new information about announcer assignments or broadcast themes can also cause repricing as the game approaches.