TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
During the Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman fight, commentators may use specific phrases to describe various aspects of the match, such as techniques, conditions, or overall excitement. The occurrence of certain exact phrases spoken by official broadcast commentators will determine the outcomes of multiple markets tied to this event.
The markets resolve based on whether specific exact phrases—including singular, plural, or possessive forms—are uttered by official broadcast commentators (play-by-play, color, rules analyst, or sideline reporters) during the live broadcast of the Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman fight, after the first round begins and before the referee declares a winner. Commentary from non-broadcast personnel (players, coaches, referees, guests, etc.) and commercials does not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond qualifying parameters, or otherwise fails to meet resolution conditions, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. Resolution relies primarily on video review, with transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced perspective. Analysts may weigh fighter statistics, past performance, and training records, while traders in this market react to breaking news, social media buzz, and live pre-fight hype. The gap between the two can widen if a dramatic pre-fight event occurs, making this market a fast barometer of shifting public sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible announcement categories. The current top outcome’s implied chance reflects the collective judgment of all participants. Liquidity and volume influence how quickly prices adjust, especially as the fight date approaches and new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the fight concludes, officials will confirm exactly what was said by the announcers; this verified transcript determines which market category occurred and triggers the final settlement of all positions.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight interviews, social media commentary from the fighters or coaches, and any last-minute changes to the announced fight plan. Major media hype or controversy surrounding particular phrases or themes may also cause rapid price swings, especially if traders anticipate those elements being highlighted by announcers during broadcast.