TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
During a FIFA World Cup match between Haiti and Scotland, commentators may mention various soccer-related terms, player names, brands, or venue details. The event tracks whether any of these specific words or phrases are spoken during the match broadcast.
Markets resolve to Yes if the exact phrase or word (or its plural or possessive form) is spoken by play-by-play or color commentators during the Haiti vs Scotland FIFA World Cup Match originally scheduled for June 13, 2026. Commentary counts from kickoff through the referee's final whistle, including extra time and penalty shootouts if applicable. Grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Promotional content aired during the event counts, but advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times or events do not count. Video of the match is the primary resolution source; official transcripts are used if video consensus cannot be reached. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on specific announcer statements during the Haiti vs Scotland match. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on expert opinion and historical commentary patterns, prediction markets incorporate live information and financial incentives. Analysts may focus on likely talking points such as team statistics, player injuries, or historical matchups, while market prices aggregate diverse trader expectations about what will actually be said. Comparing the two reveals whether professional analysts and betting markets align on which announcer mentions are most probable.
On Kalshi, each potential announcer statement for the Haiti vs Scotland match is priced as a separate binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with higher prices indicating stronger belief that the statement will be made. Traders buy contracts at the ask price if bullish on an outcome or sell at the bid price if bearish. As new information surfaces—team lineups, pre-match interviews, or betting volume shifts—prices adjust dynamically. The spread between bid and ask reflects market liquidity and uncertainty around specific announcer mentions.
The market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after the Haiti vs Scotland FIFA World Cup match concludes and official broadcast recordings are reviewed. Resolution hinges on whether the specific announcer statements tracked by each contract were actually spoken during live commentary. Outcome determination relies on verified match footage and announcer transcripts to confirm which statements were made. Each contract settles independently based on whether its corresponding phrase or mention occurred during the broadcast, ensuring precision in tracking what was genuinely said versus what traders predicted.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the Haiti vs Scotland match. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or surprise roster decisions—may alter which player names or statistics announcers emphasize. Pre-match press conferences and media coverage influence talking points and narrative themes. Historical context, such as previous Haiti-Scotland encounters or World Cup storylines, can drive announcer focus. Betting volume surges on specific outcomes signal trader conviction, moving prices higher or lower. Real-time odds also respond to live match events: early goals, red cards, or dramatic moments reshape what commentators highlight and repeat during the broadcast.