TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 3:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks specific phrases that might be mentioned by official broadcast commentators during a professional baseball game between Chicago C and St. Louis. The resolution depends on whether certain exact terms are used by designated commentators during the live broadcast of the event.
The market resolves based on whether any official broadcast commentator—defined as play-by-play, color commentator, rules analyst, or sideline reporter—uses specified exact phrases during the Chicago C vs St. Louis Professional Baseball Game scheduled for July 28, 2026. Commentary considered for resolution begins after the first pitch and ends when the game concludes, including any extra innings, but stops after the final inning unless the final play is under review. The national broadcast is the primary source; if not nationally televised, the home team's local broadcast is used. Commercials featuring commentators do not count, but promotional content within the game broadcast does. Commentary from non-broadcast personnel such as players, coaches, referees/umpires, guests, or halftime reporters is excluded. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the game; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. If the event is postponed within 14 calendar days and rescheduled, markets remain open. If the event is canceled or fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No.
Unlike traditional analyst forecasts that may rely on historical trends or team performance metrics, odds in this market reflect crowd-sourced speculation about specific announcer dialogue. Traders are pricing in factors such as recent game narratives, team rivalries, and even weather conditions that could shape commentary. Because this market centers on subjective language rather than scores, its odds often diverge sharply from analytical expectations about the game’s outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game’s broadcast transcript is verified against credible public sources. The exact wording or tone cited by announcers during play-by-play will determine which market outcome matches reality. No manual interpretation or subjective judgment is involved — only direct comparison to recorded speech.
Key signals include pre-game announcements about announcers, injury updates that might alter commentary focus, or weather delays that could shift tone and emphasis during live broadcast. Any shift in starting lineups or umpire decisions may also affect trader sentiment, as these events often generate notable reactions from announcers that could swing odds dramatically in the final days before Aug 11, 2026.