TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup match between Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina will be broadcast, with commentary monitoring for specific keywords related to game events, player achievements, notable moments, and sponsor mentions.
Resolution is based on whether play-by-play or color commentators say specific words or phrases during the Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical or tense inflections are not required. Commentary counts from kickoff through the conclusion of the match, including extra time and penalty shootouts, but ends following the referee's final whistle or VAR decision. Promotional content aired during the event counts toward resolution, but advertisements do not. Previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate times, places, or events are excluded. Video of the match is the primary resolution source; official transcripts are used if consensus cannot be reached via video. If the match is definitively cancelled or fails to qualify under the payout criterion, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days as announced by the end of the following calendar day, markets remain open.
On Kalshi, announcer mention outcomes are priced as binary or multi-outcome contracts reflecting trader confidence in specific phrases or commentary themes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating liquidity and disagreement among traders. Prices rise when more traders buy a particular announcer mention, signaling higher perceived probability. The platform's order book shows real-time depth, allowing traders to gauge conviction levels. As the Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina match approaches, prices typically tighten and volatility may increase if broadcast details or team news shift expectations about what announcers will emphasize.
The market resolves on Jun 26, 2026, after the Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match concludes and broadcast footage is reviewed. Resolution depends on verified announcer statements captured during live commentary, with outcomes determined by whether specific phrases, player mentions, or themes actually occurred as described in the market's outcome definitions. Traders should review the exact resolution criteria for each outcome to understand what counts as a valid mention and any time windows or broadcast sources that qualify. Official match recordings and broadcast transcripts serve as the authoritative reference for settlement.
Confirmed broadcast team announcements will significantly shift odds, as different commentators have distinct styles and catchphrases. Team roster changes, injuries to star players, or late lineup adjustments may alter which players announcers emphasize. Pre-match storylines—such as recent form, head-to-head history, or playoff implications—influence commentary focus. Media narratives and talking points circulating before kickoff often predict announcer themes. Match momentum and dramatic moments during play can prompt unexpected commentary pivots. Additionally, any official FIFA or broadcaster statements about match significance or special broadcast features may move trader expectations about what will be said during the Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina fixture.