TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
During the Brewers vs Pirates baseball game scheduled for July 12, 2026, resolution depends on whether official broadcast commentators (play-by-play, color commentator, rules analyst, or sideline reporter) mention specific words or phrases during their commentary. The game will be resolved using the national broadcast, or the Pirates' home broadcast if not nationally televised.
Resolution is determined by monitoring official broadcast commentary from play-by-play announcers, color commentators, rules analysts, and sideline reporters during the Brewers vs Pirates game scheduled for July 12, 2026. Commentary counting begins following the first pitch and concludes once the game ends, including any extra innings. If a final play enters review, commentary ends following the umpire's decision. The national broadcast will be used for resolution; if unavailable, the home team's local broadcast applies. Promotional content within the broadcast counts, but commercials do not. Commentary from players, coaches, umpires, guests, or halftime reporters does not count. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Resolution uses video primarily, with official transcripts as backup if consensus cannot be reached. If the game is cancelled or fails to qualify, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No. If postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the following day, markets remain open.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who have skin in the game, often diverging from traditional analyst commentary. While sports analysts may focus on team performance and storylines, this market aggregates crowd wisdom about what announcers will actually emphasize during the broadcast. Traders incorporate game context, historical announcer patterns, and current narratives to price outcomes. This dynamic pricing can reveal gaps between expert opinion and market expectations, offering a complementary perspective on which themes will dominate the booth.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-matching, where traders buy and sell shares tied to specific announcer statements or themes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move as new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or historical broadcast patterns—and as traders adjust their positions. Each outcome has a bid-ask spread reflecting supply and demand. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, with the market's price discovery mechanism ensuring real-time reflection of collective expectations about the broadcast.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, after the Brewers vs Pirates game concludes and the broadcast is complete. The outcome is determined by verified review of what the announcers actually said during the game, confirmed against credible public sources such as broadcast recordings or official transcripts. Once the event is verifiable and outcomes are finalized, the market settles and winning positions are paid out. Traders should monitor the game and broadcast to track how announcer commentary aligns with the market's predictions.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the game airs. Breaking news about player injuries, roster changes, or team performance can alter what announcers are likely to emphasize. Pre-game interviews or press conferences may hint at storylines the booth will highlight. Historical patterns from previous Brewers-Pirates matchups and announcer tendencies also influence trader positioning. Game-day developments—weather, late roster moves, or unexpected circumstances—can reshape expectations right up to first pitch. As the broadcast begins, real-time commentary will drive final price adjustments as traders react to what's actually being said.