TOTAL VOLUME:

$146.6b

24H VOL:

$161,047,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,781,800,361

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,744,915,607

504,917

Markets across

37,612

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,946

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$143,280

Cybertruck

 - Kalshi

Cybertruck - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 8:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cybertruck

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,774
N/A
N/A
$8,757
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Merge / Merger

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,066
N/A
N/A
$6,290
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Megapack 3

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,915
N/A
N/A
$3,881
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Robotaxi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,001
N/A
N/A
$3,184
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,203
N/A
N/A
$3,303
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Terafab

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,834
N/A
N/A
$3,167
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

China

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,422
N/A
N/A
$2,728
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Semi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,974
N/A
N/A
$2,289
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,525
N/A
N/A
$1,119
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Roadster

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,407
N/A
N/A
$1,877
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Competition

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,381
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Solar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
$1,131
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

SpaceX / xAI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,158
N/A
N/A
$1,071
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Cybercab

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,106
N/A
N/A
$1,064
5mo 1w 2d
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,784
N/A
N/A
$37,858
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Grok (3+ times)

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,994
N/A
N/A
$11,490
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Gigafactory

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,383
N/A
N/A
$4,504
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Intel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,086
N/A
N/A
$4,927
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,883
N/A
N/A
$2,165
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Supercharger / Super Charger

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,877
N/A
N/A
$1,784
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Six-Seater / Six-Seat

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,058
N/A
N/A
$2,020
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Safety Monitor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,855
N/A
N/A
$1,503
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Waymo

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,829
N/A
N/A
$1,442
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Iran / Middle East

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,510
N/A
N/A
$1,410
5mo 1w 2d
No
kalshi

Samsung

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$808
5mo 1w 2d
No
Total markets: 25

Description

During Tesla's upcoming earnings call, participants will track whether specific keywords are mentioned by any Tesla representative. The focus is on identifying discussions around various products, strategies, and external factors that could influence the company's direction or public perception.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether specified terms are uttered by any Tesla representative during the company's next earnings call, including the Q+A session. Each market defines a unique term or phrase, such as product names, strategic concepts, or external entities. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the exact phrase—or its plural/possessive form—is spoken. Grammatical or tense variations do not qualify. Resolution relies first on video recordings of the call; if employees cannot reach consensus, published transcripts from news sources will be consulted. All terms are treated independently, and the outcome for each market depends solely on the presence of its designated keyword regardless of context or frequency of mention.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tesla earnings call market tracks the current odds for each possible outcome related to what will be discussed during the call. You’ll find the implied probability of each outcome, as well as a price history chart showing how the odds have shifted over time. The 24-hour volume of $120,760 indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently, while the overall volume is $143,056. This provides a clear view of market sentiment and how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the earnings announcement.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the Tesla earnings call. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges for financial metrics, this market allows traders to express beliefs about specific statements or topics that Tesla’s leadership might address. This can reveal a different kind of insight into expectations, focusing on qualitative aspects of the call rather than purely quantitative ones. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts and this market represent different forms of information and may not always align.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Tesla earnings call. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market efficiently aggregates this collective intelligence, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Mar 31, 2027, following the completion of Tesla’s next earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome that corresponds to the topics actually discussed by Tesla’s leadership during the call will be considered the winning outcome. The resolution process aims to objectively assess what was said, providing a clear and transparent result for all participants in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any pre-earnings news regarding Tesla’s performance, such as production numbers, delivery figures, or announcements of new products, could influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader economic indicators or industry trends related to the electric vehicle market could also play a role. Unexpected statements from Tesla executives prior to the call, or even rumors about the call’s content, could also cause shifts in the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters expectations about the earnings call’s content has the potential to move this market.