TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of June 22 2026?
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of June 22 2026?
Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on TSLA's price range, whereas analyst forecasts typically rely on fundamental models and historical patterns. This market aggregates distributed knowledge from participants with direct financial incentives to predict accurately, often capturing forward-looking sentiment faster than traditional equity research. Comparing the implied probabilities here to published analyst price targets can reveal where the crowd expects divergence from consensus estimates, highlighting either undervalued or overconfident outcomes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares of each outcome, with the share price representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular price range, the higher its odds climb; conversely, selling pressure lowers them. This continuous auction mechanism ensures prices reflect the latest information and trader conviction, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, after the week of June 22, 2026 concludes. The outcome is determined by verifying TSLA's actual price level during that week against credible public financial data sources. Once the event is confirmed and the correct outcome is identified, the market settles and winning shares are paid out at full value while losing shares expire worthless.
Major catalysts for TSLA price movement include quarterly earnings reports, product announcements, regulatory developments affecting electric vehicles, macroeconomic shifts in interest rates or consumer demand, and competitive pressures from legacy automakers and EV startups. Geopolitical events, supply chain disruptions, and management commentary during earnings calls can also trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitoring this market typically watch for Tesla-specific news, broader market volatility, and sector rotation trends that could push the stock into different price bands before settlement.