TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Ted Cruz say during his MS NOW interview?
kalshi

What will Ted Cruz say during his MS NOW interview?

Volume:
$122,385

Supreme Court / SCOTUS

 - Kalshi

Supreme Court / SCOTUS - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 9:53 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Supreme Court / SCOTUS

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,008
N/A
N/A
$5,674
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,610
N/A
N/A
$47,610
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,849
N/A
N/A
$28,337
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,374
N/A
N/A
$15,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,087
N/A
N/A
$3,816
Settled
No
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,877
N/A
N/A
$2,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Talarico

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
$2,618
Settled
No
kalshi

Paxton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,297
N/A
N/A
$2,018
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,119
N/A
N/A
$2,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,874
N/A
N/A
$1,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Canada / Canadian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,616
N/A
N/A
$1,047
Settled
No
kalshi

2028 / Campaign

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,557
N/A
N/A
$1,219
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,366
N/A
N/A
$1,171
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

The event involves monitoring a specific television interview to determine whether certain political keywords or phrases are mentioned by a public figure. The outcome depends on the exact wording used during the broadcast, with specific criteria for qualifying statements.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist under this event, each tied to whether Ted Cruz utters a specific keyword or phrase during a scheduled interview on August 25th, 2026, on MS NOW Way Too Early with Ali Vitali or Morning Joe. Each market corresponds to a distinct term or condition—for example, mentioning 'Tariff,' 'Supreme Court,' or 'Trump (3+ times).' Resolution relies on reviewing the live broadcast or official transcripts to verify if Cruz, speaking in an official capacity, uses the exact phrase or its acceptable variants (e.g., plural/possessive forms). Grammatical variations, off-mic comments, or unaired content do not count. If the interview is canceled, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share common verification procedures and exclusion criteria but differ in their triggering phrases.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Ted Cruz MS NOW quote market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this event, along with 24-hour volume of $122,385. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements from Ted Cruz during his interview, offering a live view of market sentiment and activity for the Ted Cruz MS NOW quote market.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a collective trader assessment of what Ted Cruz might say, which can diverge from traditional polling or expert predictions. Where analysts may emphasize policy positions or historical tendencies, traders react to immediate news cycles, perceived momentum, and subtle cues — potentially leading to different implied probabilities for each possible statement.

This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the interview transcript or authoritative news coverage is verified against credible public sources. The exact statement from Ted Cruz will be matched to the market’s defined options, closing the market based on what was actually said during the broadcast.

Key signals include any pre-interview commentary from Ted Cruz’s team, shifts in political narratives leading up to the broadcast, and live reactions during the interview itself. News headlines, social media buzz, and even polling snapshots can influence trader sentiment, while last-minute cancellations or changes to the interview format may also cause rapid price adjustments.