TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 1:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific phrases will be mentioned during Target's upcoming earnings call. Each phrase represents a potential topic of discussion, and the outcome depends on whether any Target representative uses the exact phrase during the call.
The event determines if any of several specified phrases are uttered by Target Corporation representatives during their next earnings call scheduled for August 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that exact phrase—or its plural or possessive form—is used at any point during the call, including the Q+A session. Resolution primarily relies on video footage of the call; if video review fails to achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified phrase structure. All markets share these uniform verification procedures, ensuring consistent application across each phrase-specific condition.
This market’s current odds reflect trader expectations about what Target might announce, often showing divergence from traditional analyst forecasts. Where analysts may project conservative or bullish guidance based on historical performance, traders in this market price in real-time sentiment, news flow, and market conditions that could sway Target’s actual remarks.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent binary outcomes — whether certain phrases or topics will appear in the Target earnings call. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, showing market expectations based on available information and trader sentiment ahead of Jan 31, 2027.
This market resolves around Jan 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact wording spoken by Target during its earnings call will be compared against the market’s defined options to determine the winning outcome.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Jan 31, 2027. Strong earnings previews, analyst commentary on consumer trends, or unexpected supply chain updates may influence trader expectations. Media reports about Target’s strategic focus, along with broader retail sector performance, can also affect positioning. As the call date nears, any official guidance or pre-release hints from Target executives may cause rapid shifts in market pricing.