TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Target say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Target say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$162,597

Revenue

 - Kalshi

Revenue - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 1:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Revenue

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,704
N/A
N/A
$13,609
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,431
N/A
N/A
$12,108
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Circle 360

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,470
N/A
N/A
$6,944
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Target Plus

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,889
N/A
N/A
$9,425
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Beauty

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,627
N/A
N/A
$7,072
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Back to School

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,602
N/A
N/A
$6,147
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Roundel

100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,074
N/A
N/A
$4,893
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Remodel

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,630
N/A
N/A
$2,786
4mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Synthetic Color

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,916
N/A
N/A
$17,189
4mo 3d
No
kalshi

Inflation

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,325
N/A
N/A
$13,998
4mo 3d
No
kalshi

SNAP / Food Stamp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,485
N/A
N/A
$6,364
4mo 3d
No
kalshi

Competition

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,470
N/A
N/A
$7,532
4mo 3d
No
kalshi

Autonomous / Automation

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,665
N/A
N/A
$6,839
4mo 3d
No
kalshi

Nintendo Switch

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,308
N/A
N/A
$5,269
4mo 3d
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event tracks whether specific phrases will be mentioned during Target's upcoming earnings call. Each phrase represents a potential topic of discussion, and the outcome depends on whether any Target representative uses the exact phrase during the call.

Kalshi

The event determines if any of several specified phrases are uttered by Target Corporation representatives during their next earnings call scheduled for August 19, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that exact phrase—or its plural or possessive form—is used at any point during the call, including the Q+A session. Resolution primarily relies on video footage of the call; if video review fails to achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified phrase structure. All markets share these uniform verification procedures, ensuring consistent application across each phrase-specific condition.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Target earnings statement market, along with 24-hour volume of $105,629. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of specific mentions during the upcoming earnings call. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity as the statement date approaches.

This market’s current odds reflect trader expectations about what Target might announce, often showing divergence from traditional analyst forecasts. Where analysts may project conservative or bullish guidance based on historical performance, traders in this market price in real-time sentiment, news flow, and market conditions that could sway Target’s actual remarks.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent binary outcomes — whether certain phrases or topics will appear in the Target earnings call. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, showing market expectations based on available information and trader sentiment ahead of Jan 31, 2027.

This market resolves around Jan 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact wording spoken by Target during its earnings call will be compared against the market’s defined options to determine the winning outcome.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before Jan 31, 2027. Strong earnings previews, analyst commentary on consumer trends, or unexpected supply chain updates may influence trader expectations. Media reports about Target’s strategic focus, along with broader retail sector performance, can also affect positioning. As the call date nears, any official guidance or pre-release hints from Target executives may cause rapid shifts in market pricing.