TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Stephen A. Smith mentions specific keywords or phrases during a NewsNation broadcast featuring Cuomo. It focuses on his verbal statements rather than his mere presence, requiring him to speak in an official capacity for the outcome to be valid.
The event resolves based on whether Stephen A. Smith utters any of the specified phrases—such as "LeBron," "ESPN," "Ryan Clark," or others—during the NewsNation: Cuomo broadcast. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase, and the market resolves to Yes if Smith uses the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, during the live broadcast or stream. The resolution relies primarily on video footage, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. Promotional content during the event counts, but advertisements and previously aired material do not. The event must feature Smith speaking in an official capacity; presence alone or inaudible/off-mic comments do not qualify. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to resolve normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ from some analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize particular angles of Stephen A. Smith’s potential remarks, the odds capture a broader, crowd-sourced view of what traders think he will say. These differences can highlight where public sentiment diverges from expert predictions, offering a unique perspective on market sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds based on their assessment of what Stephen A. Smith is likely to say during the NewsNation: Cuomo show. The current pricing incorporates all available information up to the event, with liquidity indicated by a volume of $141,270. As new information emerges, such as news reports or commentary previews, the market may shift rapidly.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Stephen A. Smith’s statements during the NewsNation: Cuomo broadcast are verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific words or phrases cited will be checked against widely available transcripts or reputable news coverage to determine the final result.
Key signals include preview articles or social media posts by Stephen A. Smith hinting at his upcoming topics, as well as any last-minute changes to the show’s format or guest lineup. Additionally, breaking news related to the subjects he might address can shift trader sentiment quickly, influencing odds in the days leading up to the broadcast.