TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will Spotify say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Spotify say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$157,217

Apple

 - Kalshi

Apple - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 10:58 AM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Apple

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,656
N/A
N/A
$15,012
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Churn

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,399
N/A
N/A
$14,625
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Fitness

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,328
N/A
N/A
$6,220
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Claude

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,419
N/A
N/A
$7,370
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Headwind

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,672
N/A
N/A
$4,903
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

ChatGPT

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,935
N/A
N/A
$3,898
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Message / Messaging

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,527
N/A
N/A
$3,784
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Netflix

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,510
N/A
N/A
$3,777
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Game / Gaming

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,122
N/A
N/A
$3,552
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Monetization

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,847
N/A
N/A
$3,350
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Retain / Retention

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,157
N/A
N/A
$2,972
3mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Peloton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,663
N/A
N/A
$9,940
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Anna's Archive

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,994
N/A
N/A
$4,482
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Award

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,334
N/A
N/A
$3,143
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Bookshop / Bookshop.org

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,977
N/A
N/A
$2,174
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Lyric

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,770
N/A
N/A
$1,624
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Physical

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,717
N/A
N/A
$1,868
3mo 2d
No
kalshi

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,192
N/A
N/A
$1,052
3mo 2d
No
Total markets: 18

Description

During a corporate earnings call, executives discuss financial performance and future strategies. Investors and analysts closely monitor these events for insights into company health and direction. Specific phrases mentioned can signal important focuses or challenges.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if a specified exact phrase is uttered by any Spotify representative during the earnings call, including Q+A sessions. Resolution primarily uses video recordings, with transcripts from news publications as a fallback if video consensus cannot be reached. Only the exact phrase, its plural, or possessive forms count; grammatical or tense variations do not qualify. All markets share these consistent verification and validation procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the Spotify earnings statement market, along with a display of total volume at $157,217 and 24-hour volume at $104,972. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements appearing in Spotify's upcoming earnings call, offering a visual representation of market sentiment and activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of probabilities. While analysts may provide detailed guidance based on financial models, traders in this market incorporate a broader set of signals — including recent platform performance, user sentiment, and unexpected developments — which can lead to divergence or alignment with official analyst predictions.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the exact words spoken by Spotify during their earnings call will be compared against the market's defined outcomes, and the market will close based on that verified transcript.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-earnings leaks, analyst day announcements, changes in Spotify's strategic focus revealed in preliminary reports, and broader market trends affecting investor sentiment. Any surprise guidance, user growth figures, or partnership news shared before the call may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.