TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?
limitless

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?

Volume:
$2,183

↑ $770

 - Limitless

↑ $770 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

↑ $770

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $760

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
72.6¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↑ $785

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $780

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $775

0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $755

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $750

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $745

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $800

N/A
N/A
50¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $795

N/A
N/A
3.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↑ $790

N/A
N/A
50¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $765

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

↓ $740

N/A
N/A
50¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

↓ $735

N/A
N/A
50¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds imply a higher weekly high than many spot price forecasts from analysts and traditional polls. This gap suggests traders on Limitless are more bullish about the S&P 500’s performance during that week compared to conventional market expectations, potentially pricing in catalysts like strong earnings or macro data.

On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants continuously adjust their bids and asks based on new information and expectations. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all participants, with the chance percentage showing the implied probability of that level being achieved based on ongoing trading.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing high price of the S&P 500 for the specified week will be compared against the market’s target level, and the result will be finalized based on reliable, widely accepted data sources.

Key signals that could shift this market include major earnings reports from large S&P 500 constituents, unexpected changes in Federal Reserve policy, significant geopolitical developments, or broad market volatility triggered by economic data releases. Any surprise events that affect investor sentiment or market performance could cause rapid repricing on Limitless as traders adjust their positions.