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What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of June 29 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of June 29 2026?

Volume:
$42,175

At least ₩8,750

 - Kalshi

At least ₩8,750 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 11:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least ₩8,750

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,489
N/A
N/A
$1,848
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $196

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩8,800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,169
N/A
N/A
$1,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩9,300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,000
N/A
N/A
$1,999
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩8,900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,796
N/A
N/A
$2,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩8,875

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,763
N/A
N/A
$2,727
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩9,200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,614
N/A
N/A
$1,947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩8,825

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
$2,111
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩8,850

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,118
N/A
N/A
$2,118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least ₩9,100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,541
N/A
N/A
$1,531
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $191

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $193

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $202

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $201

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $198

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $192

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $194

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $197

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $195

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $203

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least ₩9,400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
$633
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $204

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

At least ₩9,500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
$237
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event group tracks whether the South Korea ETF (EWY) will reach specific price levels during the week of June 29, 2026. Kalshi markets reference KOSPI index thresholds in Korean Won, while Polymarket markets specify EWY price targets in USD across high and low price points, all measured during regular trading hours.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure different underlying assets (KOSPI index vs. EWY ETF) in different currencies (KRW vs. USD) with different time windows and measurement granularity. While correlated, they are not interchangeable resolution sources.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with correlated but independent resolution paths. EWY price depends on KOSPI level, USD/KRW exchange rate, fund tracking error, and intraday volatility. A KOSPI threshold hit does not guarantee the corresponding EWY price level is reached, and vice versa. Monitor both instruments and their conversion ratio throughout the week of June 29, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on KOSPI Composite Index (Korean Won). Eleven markets with thresholds ranging from ₩8,750 to ₩9,500. Time windows vary: some reference 'June 2026' broadly, others specify 'Jun 18–30, 2026'. Resolution is binary YES if any threshold is met. Source: KOSPI official index data (implicit). Key Quote: 'If the value of KOSPI Composite Index (KOSPI) is at least ₩[threshold] in June 2026...'
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on EWY ETF (USD). Sixteen markets with price targets ranging from $191 to $204, split between HIGH and LOW price points. All reference the specific week of June 29, 2026, measured via 1-minute candles during regular trading hours only (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET). Resolution is YES if any 1-minute candle reaches the target. Source: Pyth (primary), with fallback to official exchange daily high/low. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of June 29 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final Low/High price equal to or [below/above] the listed price.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of June 29 2026?

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the KOSPI Composite Index value as reported by Trading View in its native Korean won currency and units, with no currency conversion applied. A Yes resolution occurs if the index reaches or exceeds the specified threshold at any point during June 2026; the level need not be sustained. Each threshold level is evaluated independently to two decimal places. If the index fails to reach the specified level at any point during the month, the outcome resolves to No. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying index are not considered. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all outcomes except "No data" or "None" resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here often diverge from traditional sell-side analyst price targets because they aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than periodic research updates. Analysts typically publish quarterly or event-driven forecasts with longer revision cycles, whereas this market reprices continuously as new data emerges. The odds visible today reflect market participants' collective assessment of macroeconomic conditions, Fed policy, and Korean equity fundamentals—factors that may not yet be fully reflected in published analyst consensus. This dynamic pricing can reveal early signals of shifting sentiment before formal forecast revisions.

Polymarket and Kalshi may show different odds on this market due to variations in user demographics, liquidity depth, and market-making incentives. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi's regulated structure and order-book model can attract institutional traders focused on precise hedging, while Polymarket's automated market maker design may appeal to retail participants trading on intuition or shorter timeframes. Differences in fee structures, available leverage, and promotional activity also influence where volume concentrates. These spreads typically narrow as resolution approaches, but arbitrage opportunities can persist if one platform attracts more informed flow than the other.

Key catalysts include Bank of Korea monetary policy decisions, Korean corporate earnings reports, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment in emerging markets. Currency movements—particularly USD/KRW strength or weakness—directly impact EWY valuations since the fund holds Korean won-denominated assets. Geopolitical developments on the peninsula, US–Korea trade negotiations, and global semiconductor demand (given Samsung and SK Hynix exposure) can trigger sharp repricing. Economic data releases from both Korea and the US, along with Fed communications affecting emerging-market capital flows, will likely drive the largest intraday swings as traders adjust their conviction ahead of the June 29 week.