TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.6b
24H VOL:
$161,047,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,744,915,607
504,917
Markets across
37,612
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,946
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Holiday
- Kalshi
Holiday - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 10, 2026
Time left: 18d:19h:20m
$
This event tracks whether specific phrases will be mentioned during Smithfield Foods' upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics being discussed, based on the company's financial performance, strategic focus, and market conditions.
The event determines if any of the specified phrases—Inflation, Automation, Nathan’s Famous, Hot Dog, Sioux Falls, Holiday, Headwind, Export, Eckrich, Tailwind, Tariff, China, or Hot Honey—are uttered by any Smithfield Foods, Inc. representative during their next earnings call, including the Q+A session scheduled for October 27, 2026. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the call; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts will be used. The exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, must appear, with grammatical or tense variations not counting. Each phrase functions as an independent condition, and the market resolves to Yes if any one of them is mentioned.
Currently, this market offers a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for what Smithfield Foods will discuss. While analysts often provide specific revenue or profit predictions, this market focuses on the *content* of the earnings call itself – what topics will management address. This provides a unique signal about investor expectations and concerns. It’s possible to see if the crowd anticipates a focus on supply chain issues, consumer demand, or other key areas, potentially offering insights beyond standard financial analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a specific statement will be made during the Smithfield Foods earnings call. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the call.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, following the conclusion of the Smithfield Foods earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess whether each statement listed as a possible outcome was explicitly mentioned by Smithfield Foods executives during the call. The resolution will be based on the official record of the earnings call, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the Smithfield Foods earnings call. Unexpected news regarding the pork industry, such as outbreaks of disease or changes in trade regulations, could shift expectations. Preliminary reports on Smithfield Foods’ performance, even if unofficial, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader economic indicators or announcements from competitors could influence how traders assess the likely topics of discussion during the call, leading to price movements in this market.