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$161,047,490

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504,917

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2,946

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?

Oct 15, 2026, 8:54 PM EST - Nov 10, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$3,552
Volume 24h:
$673N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$3,044
0.53%

Holiday

 - Kalshi

Holiday - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 10, 2026

Time left: 18d:19h:20m

What will Smithfield Foods, Inc. say during their next earnings call?

91%chance
Amount

$

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Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 92¢ buys you 109 shares | Odds: 91% Total Payout: $109 | Net Profit: $9 Multiplier: 1.09x | ROI: 9% | APY: 396% 18 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Holiday

Trade
91%
Yes 92¢No 11¢
3¢
N/A
$418
0%
N/A
$418
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Inflation

91%
Yes 93¢No 10¢
3¢
N/A
$398
0%
N/A
$398
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Automation

90%
Yes 90¢No 15¢
5¢
N/A
$95
0%
N/A
$95
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Eckrich

86%
7%
Yes 88¢No 16¢
4¢
N/A
$427
35%
N/A
$427
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Export

83%
Yes 84¢No 24¢
8¢
N/A
$615
21%
N/A
$405
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Nathan’s Famous

81%
Yes 87¢No 21¢
8¢
N/A
$447
0%
N/A
$243
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Headwind

76%
Yes 81¢No 26¢
7¢
N/A
$231
0%
N/A
$231
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Sioux Falls

74%
Yes 76¢No 28¢
4¢
N/A
$313
0%
N/A
$313
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Hot Dog

68%
Yes 76¢No 32¢
8¢
N/A
$51
11%
N/A
$51
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Tailwind

45%
7%
Yes 45¢No 63¢
8¢
N/A
$105
2%
N/A
$105
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Tariff

42%
Yes 40¢No 66¢
6¢
N/A
$203
0%
N/A
$118
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

China

32%
2%
Yes 32¢No 76¢
8¢
N/A
$35
9%
N/A
$35
2w 4d 19h
active
kalshi

Hot Honey

11%
Yes 10¢No 97¢
7¢
N/A
$215
0%
N/A
$206
2w 4d 19h
active
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks whether specific phrases will be mentioned during Smithfield Foods' upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics being discussed, based on the company's financial performance, strategic focus, and market conditions.

Kalshi

The event determines if any of the specified phrases—Inflation, Automation, Nathan’s Famous, Hot Dog, Sioux Falls, Holiday, Headwind, Export, Eckrich, Tailwind, Tariff, China, or Hot Honey—are uttered by any Smithfield Foods, Inc. representative during their next earnings call, including the Q+A session scheduled for October 27, 2026. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the call; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts will be used. The exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, must appear, with grammatical or tense variations not counting. Each phrase functions as an independent condition, and the market resolves to Yes if any one of them is mentioned.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the current odds of different statements being made during the Smithfield Foods earnings call. You’ll find the implied probability of each outcome, a price history showing how those probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $444. The total volume traded on this market is $3,552. This allows traders to see how the crowd is currently assessing the likelihood of various topics being discussed by Smithfield Foods executives.

Currently, this market offers a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for what Smithfield Foods will discuss. While analysts often provide specific revenue or profit predictions, this market focuses on the *content* of the earnings call itself – what topics will management address. This provides a unique signal about investor expectations and concerns. It’s possible to see if the crowd anticipates a focus on supply chain issues, consumer demand, or other key areas, potentially offering insights beyond standard financial analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a specific statement will be made during the Smithfield Foods earnings call. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the call.

This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, following the conclusion of the Smithfield Foods earnings call. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the call, verified against credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess whether each statement listed as a possible outcome was explicitly mentioned by Smithfield Foods executives during the call. The resolution will be based on the official record of the earnings call, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the results.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the Smithfield Foods earnings call. Unexpected news regarding the pork industry, such as outbreaks of disease or changes in trade regulations, could shift expectations. Preliminary reports on Smithfield Foods’ performance, even if unofficial, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader economic indicators or announcements from competitors could influence how traders assess the likely topics of discussion during the call, leading to price movements in this market.