TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of September 21 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of September 21 2026?

Volume:
$107,419

Above $66

 - Kalshi

Above $66 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $66

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,128
N/A
N/A
$2,462
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $64

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $65

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65.75

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,558
N/A
N/A
$660
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $65

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $67

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65.50

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,911
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $65

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $66

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65.25

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$789
N/A
N/A
$178
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $67

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $67

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,625
N/A
N/A
$1,318
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $62

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64.75

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $66

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $65

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $63.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $64

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $66

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $64.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $73

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $66.25

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,571
N/A
N/A
$3,278
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $68

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $68

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,458
N/A
N/A
$1,458
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $63

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 66

Description

These markets ask whether the price of Silver (XAGUSD) will reach specific levels during the week of September 21, 2026. The Polymarket markets focus on whether the 'High' price for a 1-minute candle will reach a certain level, while Kalshi markets define resolution based on the closing price of a 1-minute candlestick at a specific time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket considers any high/low during the week, while Kalshi focuses on the closing price at 5:00 PM EDT on September 21st.Hero tip: Consider the volatility of silver and the likelihood of reaching a certain price at any point during the week versus specifically at 5:00 PM EDT on the 21st. Polymarket's broader timeframe may offer more opportunities for resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Silver (XAGUSD) hits (HIGH or LOW) a specified price at *any point* during the week of September 21, 2026. Source: Pyth data. "This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 21 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price."
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above a specified price. "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on September 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 62 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of September 21 2026?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver at 5:00 PM EDT on September 21, 2026. The settlement value is determined by rounding the closing price to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price refers to the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval—for example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If the specified source agency fails to publish data for the given time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve all markets. Each individual market resolves to 'Yes' if the closing price exceeds its respective threshold, and 'No' otherwise.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially incorporating more diverse information than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts provide specific price targets based on models and research, this market aggregates the beliefs of numerous traders, each with their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. Comparing the implied probability from this market to analyst consensus estimates can offer a valuable perspective on market sentiment regarding silver’s future price.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity, which can lead to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Additionally, the specific contracts offered on each platform – such as the exact price thresholds or settlement conditions – may attract different types of traders. Market makers and arbitrageurs attempt to exploit these price differences, but temporary discrepancies can persist, reflecting the unique characteristics of each exchange. The volume of $107,419 suggests active trading across both venues.

Several macroeconomic and geopolitical events could significantly impact this market. Changes in global economic growth, inflation rates, and interest rate policies by central banks are key drivers of silver prices. Geopolitical instability, such as conflicts or trade disputes, often leads to a ‘flight to safety’ and increased demand for precious metals like silver. Unexpected supply disruptions in silver mining or industrial demand fluctuations could also move the market. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on silver’s price is crucial for traders participating in this market.