TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that isn’t readily available or considered by analysts. The question of whether prediction markets outperform expert forecasts is an ongoing debate, but this market provides a unique data point for comparison, allowing you to assess the crowd’s view against conventional wisdom.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different silver price levels. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific price being hit during the week of October 26, 2026. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding different potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the average silver (XAGUSD) price during the week of October 26, 2026, as reported by a recognized financial data provider. The exact price level that triggers a payout will depend on the contracts traded in this market, and traders will be able to see the specific payout conditions for each contract before they buy or sell. This ensures transparency and clarity regarding the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 30, 2026. Major economic reports, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions from central banks, often impact precious metal prices. Geopolitical events, including trade disputes or political instability, can also drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset. Unexpected supply disruptions in the silver mining industry or significant changes in industrial demand could also move the market. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on silver prices will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market.