TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of April 6 2026?
Volume:
$43,716
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of April 6 2026?
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes and timeframes. Polymarket resolves on any HIGH or LOW price touched during the entire week of April 6-10, 2026, while Kalshi resolves exclusively on the closing price of a single 1-minute candle at exactly 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026. These markets cannot produce consistent outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi outcomes will align. A price that touches $80 during the week (Polymarket YES) may close at $50 on April 10 at 5 PM (Kalshi NO for all thresholds). Conversely, a price that closes at $85 on April 10 at 5 PM (Kalshi YES for all thresholds) may never have touched $80 during the week (Polymarket NO). Treat these as entirely separate markets with different settlement mechanics.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on whether any 1-minute candle HIGH or LOW during the entire trading week of April 6-10, 2026 reaches specified thresholds ($67–$80 range). Resolution source is Pyth 1-minute candle data with CME COMEX Silver Futures (SI) as fallback. Logic: 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point during the week of April 6 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final High price equal to or above the listed price.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on whether the closing price of a single 1-minute candle at exactly 5 PM EDT on April 10, 2026 exceeds specified thresholds ($52.99–$91.99 range). Logic: 'If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for silver on April 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a point-in-time snapshot, not a range scan.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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