TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks where silver futures will settle during June 2026 based on the CME Group's official settlement price. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—silver settling between $50 and $60—stands at 100.0%, while silver exceeding $115 carries just 0.1% probability. Resolution will be determined by the CME Group's official settlement price for the active month silver futures contract. Watch the final trading day of June 2026, when the CME will publish the settlement price that determines this market's outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader consensus on silver's June settlement price, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts. While Wall Street analysts may publish quarterly price targets based on macroeconomic models, prediction markets aggregate live information from thousands of participants with financial incentives to be accurate. The current market probability on Polymarket represents crowdsourced expectations that can shift rapidly in response to Fed policy, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—sometimes moving ahead of formal analyst revisions.
The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026, at which point the final silver price for June will be determined and compared against the specified thresholds. Resolution occurs after the June trading period closes and official price data is finalized. The outcome is binary: either silver settles above or below the specified level, and all positions are settled accordingly. Traders should monitor the approach to this date to manage their positions before final resolution.
Silver prices are highly sensitive to US dollar strength, real interest rates, and inflation expectations. Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data releases, and changes in real yields can trigger sharp moves. Geopolitical tensions, industrial demand shifts, and safe-haven flows during market stress also influence silver significantly. Additionally, technical levels and options expiration dates can create volatility. Traders should monitor economic calendars, Fed communications, and broader precious metals sentiment as these factors will likely drive the market toward resolution in June.