TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
During a television interview, a politician will discuss various topics relevant to current events and public concerns. The discussion may touch on policy issues, political dynamics, and responses to economic or social challenges facing communities.
The event centers on whether Sherrod Brown utters specific phrases during an episode of 'The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell.' To qualify, Brown must speak in an official capacity; mere presence or off-mic comments do not count. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the live broadcast or stream, with official transcripts used as a backup if needed. If the episode is canceled or fails to meet criteria, the 'Event does not qualify' market wins. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Each market checks for exact phrase usage—including plurals or possessives—excluding grammatical variations. Promotional content counts, but advertisements and externally recorded material do not. All markets interdepend: if the event fails to qualify, all non-'Event does not qualify' markets lose.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 2, 2026. Major developments like pre-show interviews, political commentary, or breaking news about Sherrod Brown’s positions may sway expectations. Media coverage framing the discussion topic also influences trader sentiment. As the show approaches, any indication of prepared remarks or guest announcements could cause rapid price changes, reflecting updated probabilities about the exact wording or themes he’ll emphasize.