TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 10:10 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases that Sean Duffy might mention during his appearance on Fox News Sunday. It focuses on whether he utters certain predefined terms or combinations of terms during the broadcast, with clear criteria for what constitutes a valid mention.
Multiple markets exist for this event, each corresponding to a specific phrase or set of phrases that Sean Duffy may say during his appearance on Fox News Sunday. Each market resolves to Yes if Duffy utters the exact phrase or any of its plural/possessive forms while speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage from the live stream, with official transcripts used as a secondary source if video consensus cannot be reached. Certain conditions, such as grammatical variations, unaired content, or off-mic comments, do not count toward resolution. If the event is canceled or fails to meet qualification criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. Each market operates independently based on the specific phrase criteria outlined.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that differ from some analyst forecasts. While analysts may emphasize certain political angles or likelihoods, the odds here capture a broader, crowd-sourced view that can shift quickly with new information or sentiment. Comparing the two offers a useful check on conventional wisdom versus real-time market dynamics.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will depend on exact transcripts or authoritative summaries of Duffy’s remarks on the show, compared against the market’s defined statement categories. No further interpretation beyond publicly available records is applied.
News about Duffy’s preparation, guest announcements for the Fox News Sunday episode, or early excerpts released by the network could shift this market. Analyst commentary, polling data on public reaction to potential topics, and any last-minute changes in Duffy’s schedule all have the potential to change trader sentiment and move odds before resolution.