TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will say the word Trump at least three times during a White House Press Briefing. The leading outcome currently stands at 94.0%. Resolution will be determined by official White House press briefing records as the source. Watch for Bessent's next scheduled briefing appearance on or before May 29, 2026, when the market will settle based on whether he mentions Trump three or more times during his remarks.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from active traders and reflect dynamic expectations about Scott Bessent's statements during the White House Press Briefing. Unlike static analyst forecasts, these odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust positions. Market-based probabilities often incorporate faster-moving signals than traditional analyst reports, though both approaches offer complementary perspectives on the likelihood of specific remarks or topics being addressed during the briefing.
Market odds for Scott Bessent's statements could shift based on recent Treasury policy announcements, economic data releases, or public statements he makes before the briefing. Media coverage of fiscal or monetary policy debates, congressional activity, or international financial developments may influence trader expectations about which topics he will address. Scheduled economic reports, market volatility, or unexpected geopolitical events could also alter the probability distribution as traders reassess the likelihood of specific remarks or policy positions being communicated.