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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference?
kalshi

What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference?

Volume:
$54,235

Sanction

 - Kalshi

Sanction - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 1:35 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sanction

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,352
N/A
N/A
$3,805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,610
N/A
N/A
$3,093
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,099
N/A
N/A
$2,920
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran / Iranian (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,576
N/A
N/A
$2,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,835
N/A
N/A
$1,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,662
N/A
N/A
$1,580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,203
N/A
N/A
$5,198
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,377
N/A
N/A
$2,311
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,037
N/A
N/A
$3,037
Settled
No
kalshi

Economic D-Day / Economic Fury

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,999
N/A
N/A
$2,624
Settled
No
kalshi

Blockade

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,995
N/A
N/A
$2,640
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,849
N/A
N/A
$2,811
Settled
No
kalshi

Inflation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,607
N/A
N/A
$1,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,539
N/A
N/A
$2,038
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,500
N/A
N/A
$2,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Stock Market

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
$1,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,513
N/A
N/A
$1,304
Settled
No
kalshi

GDP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
$1,052
Settled
No
kalshi

America First

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$1,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Tax Cut / Cut Tax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$924
N/A
N/A
$892
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
$782
Settled
No
kalshi

Drone

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
No
Total markets: 23

Description

The event tracks whether Scott Bessent will mention specific topics during a scheduled press conference. Participants can bet on the likelihood of him addressing certain subjects, with outcomes determined by verifying his statements against predefined criteria during the broadcast.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether Scott Bessent utters exact specified phrases during his press conference scheduled for August 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "AI," "Stock Market," "China"). The phrase must be spoken in an official capacity, and grammatical variations or plural forms are acceptable. Outcomes are determined by reviewing live video broadcasts or official transcripts. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market wins, and all others lose. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Private conversations, archival footage, or unauthenticated statements do not count toward resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Bessent press conference market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this event, alongside a live view of 24-hour volume of $54,235. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements or themes emerging from Scott Bessent's upcoming press conference, updated continuously throughout trading hours.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects a collective trader assessment that can diverge significantly. Where analysts may offer nuanced qualitative views, this market distills expectations into actionable probabilities, often highlighting under- or over-valued outcomes based on recent sentiment shifts, news flow, and betting patterns unique to the crowd’s perspective.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch the press conference transcript and reputable news coverage to confirm whether specific phrases, topics, or positions matching the contract terms were actually expressed.

Key signals include pre-conference briefings, leaks from advisors, shifting geopolitical or economic context, and early reaction tweets or media snippets. Any indication that Scott Bessent is likely to address certain themes, or conversely, that he will avoid them, can cause rapid price swings as traders adjust positions ahead of the Sep 8, 2026 deadline.