TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Sarah Jessica Parker say during her Northwestern Commencement ceremony?
kalshi

What will Sarah Jessica Parker say during her Northwestern Commencement ceremony?

Volume:
$46,829

Trump / President

 - Kalshi

Trump / President - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 15, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump / President

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,174
N/A
N/A
$6,667
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,695
N/A
N/A
$2,270
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,285
N/A
N/A
$10,043
Settled
No
kalshi

Sex and the City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,462
N/A
N/A
$4,518
Settled
No
kalshi

TikTok / Social Media

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,494
N/A
N/A
$3,147
Settled
No
kalshi

Carrie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,117
N/A
N/A
$2,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Fashion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,508
N/A
N/A
$2,413
Settled
No
kalshi

Hollywood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,504
N/A
N/A
$2,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Shoe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,589
N/A
N/A
$1,314
Settled
No
kalshi

SJP

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
$918
Settled
No
kalshi

Wine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
$1,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Zando

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,095
N/A
N/A
$1,066
Settled
No
kalshi

HBO

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$660
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
$748
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

A celebrity delivers a commencement address at a university, with the outcome depending on whether certain keywords or phrases are mentioned during the speech.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on Sarah Jessica Parker's official commencement address at Northwestern, captured via live broadcast or stream that is open to the press. The speaker must address the audience in an official capacity; private conversations or unofficial statements do not qualify. Video of the ceremony serves as the primary resolution source, with official transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached. Exact words or phrases must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense variations are not required. Previously recorded content, archival footage, or recordings from separate events are excluded. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the following day, markets remain open. Should the event be cancelled or fail to meet qualification criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity on Kalshi for what Sarah Jessica Parker will mention or discuss during her Northwestern Commencement ceremony. You can monitor the probability of each predicted topic or phrase, view 24-hour volume of $40,482, and observe how odds shift as the event approaches. The platform aggregates all active outcome contracts, letting you see which statements traders believe most likely and how conviction changes over time leading up to the ceremony.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction about Sarah Jessica Parker's commencement remarks, whereas analyst forecasts rely on expert opinion and historical speech patterns. Markets often incorporate breaking news and social sentiment faster than traditional analysts update their views. For this event, comparing Kalshi odds to published commentary from commencement speech analysts or entertainment media can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors experts may have overlooked or underweighted.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each potential statement or topic Sarah Jessica Parker might mention is listed as a separate outcome contract, priced between 0 and 100 cents based on trader demand. Contracts trading near 80 cents imply high probability; those near 20 cents suggest lower likelihood. You can buy or sell each outcome, and your position settles based on whether that statement actually appears in her Northwestern Commencement address. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate market confidence in each prediction.

The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026, shortly after Sarah Jessica Parker delivers her Northwestern Commencement ceremony address. Resolution is determined by whether each predicted statement or topic actually occurs during her speech. Traders should monitor official Northwestern announcements for the exact ceremony time and any last-minute schedule changes. Once the commencement concludes and remarks are verified, outcomes settle based on what was actually said.

Key catalysts include any public statements Sarah Jessica Parker makes before the ceremony that hint at her commencement themes, Northwestern's announcement of the official ceremony date and format, and broader cultural or entertainment news that might influence her speech direction. Media coverage of her recent projects, interviews, or social media posts could shift trader expectations. Additionally, if Northwestern releases details about the ceremony's focus or any special occasions being honored, that information may reprrice odds on specific topics she might address.