TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
During a live television briefing, specific phrases spoken by a political figure will determine the outcome of various predictive markets. The resolution depends strictly on the exact wording used during the broadcast, with clear guidelines for verification and edge cases.
Multiple markets will resolve based on whether Roy Cooper utters specific exact phrases during The Briefing with Jen Psaki. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases (e.g., "Afford / Affordable / Affordability", "Corrupt / Corruption", "AI / Artificial Intelligence", etc.). Resolution relies on verifying Cooper’s official statements from the live broadcast or official transcripts. Grammatical variations, unaired content, and off-mic remarks do not count. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Consensus among Kalshi employees using video or transcripts resolves ambiguities.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often capture crowd-sourced expectations that can diverge from traditional polling or expert opinion. While analysts may weigh political context and historical trends, traders react instantly to new information, creating potential differences in implied probabilities. Monitoring both sources offers a fuller picture of anticipation surrounding Roy Cooper's statement.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate wisdom of participants. The market price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume and new information about Roy Cooper’s potential comments, showing how Kalshi users collectively assess the range of possible statements during the briefing.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Roy Cooper’s actual remarks during The Briefing with Jen Psaki are verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific wording and context of his statement will determine which market outcome matches reality, closing the market based on publicly available transcripts or reputable news coverage.
Events that could shift this market include pre-briefing statements or leaks from Cooper’s team, shifting political narratives leading up to the interview, and any last-minute changes in agenda or guest participants on The Briefing. Media speculation, poll releases, and reactions from other political figures may also influence trader sentiment and volume as Sep 9, 2026 approaches.