TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 10:10 AM EST
Kalshi
Rick Scott will appear on Fox News Sunday, a weekly news interview program. The markets track whether he mentions specific words or phrases during his on-air remarks in an official capacity.
Resolution is based on Rick Scott's statements during the live Fox News Sunday broadcast, verified primarily through video and supplemented by official transcripts if needed. Only remarks made in an official capacity qualify; inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements do not count. The exact word or phrase must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense variations are not required. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts—promotional content during the event is included, but advertisements, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings from separate events are excluded. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, all markets resolve to No. If postponed with announcement by the following calendar day to a date within 14 days, markets remain open. Resolution tracks whether Rick Scott says any of the following during the broadcast: Trump, Shutdown/Shut Down, Iran/Iranian, Oil/Gas/Gasoline, Democrat, NATO, ICE/TSA, Ceasefire, Election, Socialist/Socialism, Hormuz, Save Act/Save America Act, or Filibuster.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst commentary. While political analysts and media forecasters may offer qualitative assessments of likely talking points, this market quantifies trader confidence through live odds that update continuously. Markets typically incorporate breaking news, recent statements, and polling shifts faster than static analyst predictions. The advantage of this market is that traders face direct financial incentive to forecast accurately, whereas analyst commentary may reflect editorial perspective or broader narrative framing rather than probabilistic precision.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the implied probability that a given statement or topic will be mentioned. Traders submit limit and market orders, and the spread between bid and ask prices tightens as liquidity increases. Settlement occurs after the broadcast, with payouts determined by whether the specified outcome occurred, ensuring price discovery remains anchored to verifiable event results.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, shortly after the Fox News Sunday broadcast concludes. The outcome is determined by reviewing the aired segment and verifying whether Senator Scott made the specified statements or addressed the predicted topics. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, including broadcast recordings and reputable news coverage. Traders holding winning contracts receive their payout automatically once the platform confirms the result.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the broadcast airs. Recent statements from Senator Scott, breaking political news, or shifts in national headlines may change trader expectations about what he will prioritize during the interview. Announcements from Fox News about the segment's focus or any pre-broadcast promotional materials could also influence positioning. Market momentum itself—large trades or sudden volume spikes—may signal informed traders adjusting positions based on new information. Finally, any public comments from the senator or his office hinting at specific topics would likely trigger immediate repricing.