TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:40 AM EST
Kalshi
During a live television interview, a public figure will discuss various topics. Specific markets will determine whether certain key terms or phrases are mentioned during the broadcast.
The event centers on monitoring Richard Blumenthal's statements during his appearance on Face the Nation to determine if he utters specific predefined phrases. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or term, such as 'Ukraine,' 'Russia,' or 'Trump.' For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' Blumenthal must explicitly say the exact phrase or any of its plural or possessive forms while speaking in an official capacity during the live broadcast. The resolution relies primarily on the live video stream of the show; if video review is inconclusive, official transcripts—both internal and external—are used to verify whether the phrase was uttered. Certain conditions disqualify a phrase from counting, such as grammatical variations, off-mic comments, or content not part of the original broadcast. If the entire event is canceled or fails to meet basic qualifications for resolution, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all others resolve to 'No.' Postponements within a specified timeframe keep all markets open. The process ensures that only legitimate, on-air statements during the official broadcast contribute to market outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices based on their assessment of probable statements from Senator Blumenthal. The current top outcome reflects a consensus among participants, with the market price adjusting continuously as new information or sentiment shifts emerge. Volume of $48,070 indicates the level of interest and liquidity supporting these price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the Face the Nation broadcast, statements made by Senator Blumenthal will be compared against market outcomes to determine which option aligns most accurately with what was said on air.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-show interviews or statements by Blumenthal’s team hinting at planned topics, political developments related to his Senate work, and media coverage building up to the broadcast. Any surprise guest questions or breaking news on the day of the show may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess likely outcomes.