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What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference?
kalshi

What will RFK or Dr. Oz say during their Fraud News Conference?

Volume:
$99,844

MAHA / Make America Healthy Again

 - Kalshi

MAHA / Make America Healthy Again - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 12:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MAHA / Make America Healthy Again

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,070
N/A
N/A
$31,463
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,349
N/A
N/A
$8,607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,760
N/A
N/A
$3,554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,503
N/A
N/A
$3,170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Medicare / Medicaid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,894
N/A
N/A
$2,598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minnesota / Minneapolis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,522
N/A
N/A
$2,213
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,161
N/A
N/A
$11,142
Settled
No
kalshi

Democrat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,525
N/A
N/A
$7,226
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,285
N/A
N/A
$6,116
Settled
No
kalshi

Chronic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,181
N/A
N/A
$5,048
Settled
No
kalshi

Processed Food

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,384
N/A
N/A
$3,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,359
N/A
N/A
$3,353
Settled
No
kalshi

Hospice

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,745
N/A
N/A
$2,543
Settled
No
kalshi

SNAP / Food Stamp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,761
N/A
N/A
$1,594
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or Mehmet Oz will participate in an official News Conference on Combating Fraud that is open to the press and broadcast live on television or streamed online. Resolution will be determined by analyzing video of the event, supplemented by official transcripts if needed, to identify specific words or phrases mentioned during their official remarks.

Kalshi

This event consists of multiple independent word-mention markets tracking whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or Mehmet Oz uses specific terms during an official News Conference on Combating Fraud. Each market resolves Yes if the speaker uses the exact phrase or word (including plural or possessive forms) at least the specified number of times during the live broadcast or stream. The event must be open to the press and televised or streamed live to qualify; previously recorded content, archival footage, or recordings from separate events do not count. Speakers must be present and speaking in an official capacity—inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements picked up on hot microphones do not qualify. Resolution is based primarily on video evidence; official transcripts serve as a secondary reference if video consensus cannot be reached. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, all word-mention markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more nuanced or forward-looking perspective, incorporating trader sentiment and real-time information flows. While analysts may issue probabilities based on models or historical data, traders adjust positions rapidly in response to new clues, rumors, or media coverage. This can lead to divergence, especially when public opinion shifts quickly ahead of formal analysis.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closely for official statements, press conferences, or reputable news coverage that clearly indicates whether the specified language or claims were made. The resolution hinges on public records and widely accepted news sources.

Media coverage, social media buzz, and preliminary remarks from advisors or affiliated organizations could shift this market. Any polling data, expert commentary, or emerging controversy around the speakers may also influence trader sentiment. As the conference date nears, real-time updates from accredited journalists or official channels are likely to cause noticeable price swings on Kalshi.