TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will RBC say during their next earnings call?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will RBC say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$30,486

Tailwind

 - Kalshi

Tailwind - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 11:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tailwind

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,969
N/A
N/A
$1,940
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Buyback

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,708
N/A
N/A
$1,069
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,602
N/A
N/A
$1,438
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Retention

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,451
N/A
N/A
$1,422
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Headwind

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,362
N/A
N/A
$1,250
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Competition

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
$1,156
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Volatility

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
$899
13h 5m
Yes
kalshi

Synergy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,050
N/A
N/A
$8,786
13h 5m
No
kalshi

Affordability

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,995
N/A
N/A
$4,632
13h 5m
No
kalshi

Recession

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,499
N/A
N/A
$2,427
13h 5m
No
kalshi

Renewal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,949
N/A
N/A
$1,904
13h 5m
No
kalshi

Stimulus

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
$572
13h 5m
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Royal Bank of Canada representatives will mention the word "Synergy" during the bank's next earnings call, including the Q&A session. The leading outcome currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by Synergy being said by any RBC representative, including the call operator, during the next Royal Bank of Canada earnings call. Watch for RBC's next scheduled earnings announcement by September 30, 2026, when the resolution source will review the official call transcript.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for what Royal Bank of Canada will say during their next earnings call on Kalshi. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $29,215. The market has generated total volume of $30,486, reflecting trader conviction around RBC's upcoming statements. This single-venue view lets you monitor how market participants are pricing RBC's earnings messaging as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations about RBC's earnings call statements, which often diverge from traditional analyst consensus. While equity analysts typically focus on earnings beats and guidance, prediction markets price what RBC will actually communicate—including tone, strategic priorities, and specific topics mentioned. Comparing market odds to analyst reports and investor call transcripts can reveal where traders expect RBC to emphasize different messages than the sell-side consensus anticipates.

The market resolves on Sep 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by what Royal Bank of Canada actually communicates during their next earnings call, including prepared remarks, management commentary, and responses to analyst questions. The specific statements, topics emphasized, and language used will be compared against the market's outcome criteria to settle positions. Traders should monitor RBC's earnings announcement date and call schedule to anticipate the resolution window.

Key catalysts include RBC's quarterly financial results, changes in Canadian interest rates, regulatory announcements affecting banking, and macroeconomic data on employment and inflation. Management commentary in investor presentations or conference calls before earnings could signal what RBC plans to emphasize. Competitor earnings calls and broader financial sector trends may also influence market expectations. Geopolitical or credit market developments could prompt RBC to adjust messaging around risk management or capital allocation during their call.