TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Rachel Maddow will mention any of a curated list of politically and socially relevant topics during her next televised show. The topics span foreign policy issues, domestic politics, economic concerns, technology, and legal matters that are frequently discussed in news commentary.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations about Maddow's on-air statements, which often diverge from traditional media analyst commentary. While analysts may rely on editorial calendars or prior reporting patterns, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader conviction through financial incentives. Comparing Kalshi odds to published analyst predictions or media coverage can reveal where the market expects surprises or consensus breakdowns in Maddow's coverage.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each potential statement or topic Maddow might mention is priced as a separate binary contract, with odds reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. Prices range from near-zero to near-100, with tighter spreads on high-volume outcomes and wider spreads on niche or speculative mentions. Traders buy or sell contracts based on their conviction, and prices update continuously as new information emerges or as air dates approach.
Major news developments, breaking political stories, or investigative findings could shift odds on what Maddow covers. Changes to her editorial focus, guest bookings, or network priorities may signal which topics she will emphasize. Market participants also react to her prior show segments, social media hints, or reporting patterns. As the air date approaches, leaked show rundowns or promotional clips can trigger sharp repricing of specific outcomes.