TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
kalshi

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?

Volume:
$54,062

Prison / Camp

 - Kalshi

Prison / Camp - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 10:15 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Prison / Camp

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,441
N/A
N/A
$5,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,213
N/A
N/A
$3,538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,826
N/A
N/A
$6,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,873
N/A
N/A
$4,684
Settled
No
kalshi

UFC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,664
N/A
N/A
$3,391
Settled
No
kalshi

Ballroom

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,769
N/A
N/A
$3,490
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordability / Affordable

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,691
N/A
N/A
$3,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Corrupt / Corruption

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,075
N/A
N/A
$2,948
Settled
No
kalshi

Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,057
N/A
N/A
$2,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,820
N/A
N/A
$2,430
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,576
N/A
N/A
$2,454
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,344
N/A
N/A
$2,152
Settled
No
kalshi

Epstein

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$1,979
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,868
N/A
N/A
$1,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Healthcare

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,846
N/A
N/A
$1,756
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks whether Rachel Maddow will mention any of a specific set of topics or keywords during her next television show broadcast. The topics span a diverse range of subjects including politics, international affairs, legal matters, entertainment, and current events.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for predictions about Rachel Maddow's on-air statements on Kalshi. It displays the current probability of the leading outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume in USD. This market focuses on specific mentions or statements Maddow may make during her show, allowing traders to bet on the likelihood of particular topics, phrases, or announcements. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, giving you a live view of how prediction market participants are pricing the probability of what Maddow will say.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders with financial incentives to forecast accurately, which often differs from traditional analyst predictions. While analysts may rely on historical patterns or editorial judgment, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. For Rachel Maddow's statements, market odds can shift rapidly based on breaking news, network schedules, or trending topics that analysts might not immediately incorporate. Direct comparison is challenging since analyst forecasts on specific on-air mentions are rarely published, but markets typically respond faster to new information than formal analyst updates.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Rachel Maddow makes the specific statement or mention outlined in the market outcome during her show. The resolution process involves verification of her on-air broadcast to confirm whether the predicted statement occurred. Traders should monitor the show's air date and content carefully, as the exact wording and context of her remarks will be evaluated against the market's outcome criteria. Once the show airs and the statement is either confirmed or not, the market settles accordingly.

Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Breaking news or major political developments may prompt Maddow to address specific topics on air, increasing the probability she mentions them. Network scheduling changes or show cancellations could affect whether she broadcasts at all. Her recent commentary and social media posts often signal which stories she plans to cover. Market participants also react to competitor coverage and trending narratives in news cycles. Additionally, any statements from her network, MSNBC, or official show announcements about planned segments could move trader expectations. Real-time monitoring of news and her broadcast schedule is essential for tracking probability shifts.