TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
China (3+ times)
- Kalshi
China (3+ times) - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 07d:07h:49m
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This event tracks whether specific keywords or phrases will be mentioned during Procter & Gamble's upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics being discussed, such as financial terms, product lines, or market conditions, based on the company's public statements.
The event determines if any of the specified terms—Dividend, Laundry, Tariff, AI/Artificial Intelligence, Inflation, Beauty, Advertising, Competition, Revenue, Old Spice, Toothpaste, WNBA, China (mentioned three or more times), or Buyback/Buy Back—are uttered by any Procter & Gamble representative during the live earnings call or its official broadcast, including the Q+A session. Resolution relies first on video footage of the call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus, transcripts from designated news publications will be used. Payout depends on the exact phrase or its plural/possessive form being used, excluding grammatical or tense variations. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Procter & Gamble, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, this market allows participants to express their beliefs about the content of the Procter & Gamble earnings call in a way that differs from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges for financial metrics, this market focuses on specific mentions or topics. It’s possible that the collective wisdom of traders here will anticipate certain themes or discussions before they are widely recognized by analysts, or conversely, may diverge based on different interpretations of available information. Comparing the implied probabilities within this market to the consensus expectations from financial analysts provides a unique perspective on potential call content.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders submit bids for what they believe will happen and asks for what they are willing to sell. The market price for each outcome reflects the highest bid and lowest ask, constantly adjusting as new orders are placed. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the Procter & Gamble earnings call. The market will settle based on whether the specified outcomes were explicitly mentioned during the call, as documented in the official record. The precise wording of the outcomes will be crucial for determining the resolution, and the transcript will serve as the definitive source for verification.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news related to Procter & Gamble’s performance, industry trends, or potential strategic shifts could influence trader sentiment. Pre-earnings reports, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and even social media discussions could all impact the perceived likelihood of certain topics being discussed on the earnings call. Unexpected economic data releases or broader market movements could also play a role, as investors adjust their expectations for the company’s outlook. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding price fluctuations in this market.