TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will PriceSmart say during their next earnings call?
polymarket

What will PriceSmart say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$15,581

Merchandise +5 times

 - Polymarket

Merchandise +5 times - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Merchandise +5 times

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
52¢
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Costco

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
72¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Guatemala

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Membership

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Warehouse

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tax

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fiscal +10 times

100%
Yes 99.9¢No 99¢
98.9¢
N/A
$2,574
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club +5 times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Food

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Growth

99%
Yes 99.9¢No 1¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Costa Rica

99%
Yes 99.8¢No 1.5¢
1.3¢
N/A
$2,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fuel Cost

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Colombia

99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.4¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Store +15 times

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
N/A
$269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Profit +10 times

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Relax

0%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.1¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tariff

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Franchise

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Commerce

0%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PriceSmart, currently scheduled to take place on July 9, 2026 at 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event, including 800-715-9871. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PriceSmart, currently scheduled to take place on July 9, 2026 at 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event, including 800-715-9871. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the PriceSmart earnings call market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity around what the retailer will say during their next earnings presentation. The dashboard displays the leading outcome—whether PriceSmart will use the word "Fiscal" 10 or more times—along with current probability, historical price movements, and recent trading volume. This gives traders and observers a live view of market sentiment as new information emerges and the earnings date approaches. The interface lets you monitor how conviction shifts as company guidance, analyst expectations, and broader retail sector news develop.

Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts operate on different timescales and data sources. Analysts typically publish earnings estimates and guidance weeks or months in advance, while this market reflects real-time trader conviction as the earnings call draws near. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than consensus revisions, since traders can adjust positions instantly. However, analyst reports provide detailed reasoning and historical context that raw odds alone do not convey. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in surprises that Wall Street has not yet fully acknowledged, or vice versa.

This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once PriceSmart's next earnings call has concluded and the transcript or recording becomes publicly available. The outcome is determined by counting how many times the word "Fiscal" appears in the official earnings call remarks. If the count reaches 10 or higher, the yes outcome wins; otherwise, no prevails. Resolution is verified against credible public sources, including the company's official earnings materials and widely-cited financial news archives.

Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Company press releases or pre-earnings guidance that hints at financial terminology usage might signal whether management plans to emphasize fiscal discipline or performance metrics. Broader retail earnings season results could influence trader expectations about how often peers reference fiscal language. Changes in PriceSmart's stock price or analyst sentiment may also affect market conviction. Finally, any management commentary or investor presentations in the weeks leading up to the call could telegraph the tone and vocabulary of the upcoming earnings discussion, prompting traders to adjust positions accordingly.