TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PriceSmart, currently scheduled to take place on July 9, 2026 at 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event, including 800-715-9871. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PriceSmart, currently scheduled to take place on July 9, 2026 at 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event, including 800-715-9871. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Prediction market odds and traditional analyst forecasts operate on different timescales and data sources. Analysts typically publish earnings estimates and guidance weeks or months in advance, while this market reflects real-time trader conviction as the earnings call draws near. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than consensus revisions, since traders can adjust positions instantly. However, analyst reports provide detailed reasoning and historical context that raw odds alone do not convey. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in surprises that Wall Street has not yet fully acknowledged, or vice versa.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once PriceSmart's next earnings call has concluded and the transcript or recording becomes publicly available. The outcome is determined by counting how many times the word "Fiscal" appears in the official earnings call remarks. If the count reaches 10 or higher, the yes outcome wins; otherwise, no prevails. Resolution is verified against credible public sources, including the company's official earnings materials and widely-cited financial news archives.
Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. Company press releases or pre-earnings guidance that hints at financial terminology usage might signal whether management plans to emphasize fiscal discipline or performance metrics. Broader retail earnings season results could influence trader expectations about how often peers reference fiscal language. Changes in PriceSmart's stock price or analyst sentiment may also affect market conviction. Finally, any management commentary or investor presentations in the weeks leading up to the call could telegraph the tone and vocabulary of the upcoming earnings discussion, prompting traders to adjust positions accordingly.