TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Pete Hegseth say during his Press Conference?
kalshi

What will Pete Hegseth say during his Press Conference?

Volume:
$410,554

Oil

 - Kalshi

Oil - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oil

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,918
N/A
N/A
$32,969
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Democrat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,869
N/A
N/A
$8,581
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Submarine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,527
N/A
N/A
$8,892
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fake News

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,565
N/A
N/A
$8,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America First

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,854
N/A
N/A
$4,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,417
N/A
N/A
$3,671
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Civilian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,936
N/A
N/A
$3,097
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drone

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,431
N/A
N/A
$3,404
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iraq

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,031
N/A
N/A
$2,093
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,990
N/A
N/A
$2,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,607
N/A
N/A
$1,813
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,428
N/A
N/A
$1,181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Obliterated / Obliteration

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,732
N/A
N/A
$51,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,413
N/A
N/A
$66,435
Settled
No
kalshi

Ayatollah / Khamenei

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,632
N/A
N/A
$38,160
Settled
No
kalshi

Hezbollah

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,210
N/A
N/A
$38,959
Settled
No
kalshi

Constitution / Constitutional

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,927
N/A
N/A
$22,758
Settled
No
kalshi

Midnight Hammer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,067
N/A
N/A
$11,201
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This market tracks whether Pete Hegseth will use any of a specific set of keywords during an official press conference regarding Operation Epic Fury scheduled for March 4th, 2026. The keywords span military operations, political terminology, regional conflicts, and policy rhetoric relevant to Middle Eastern geopolitics. The market resolves affirmatively if any single keyword from the predefined list is spoken during the event.