TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PepsiCo, currently scheduled to take place on July 9, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of PepsiCo, currently scheduled to take place on July 9, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating strong incentives for honest forecasting. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, are often published estimates with less direct financial accountability. This market aggregates dispersed trader knowledge into a single probability, which historically outperforms individual analyst calls on corporate communications. However, both sources have blind spots: markets can be influenced by sentiment or liquidity imbalances, while analysts may have deeper access to company guidance. Comparing the two reveals where consensus is strong and where uncertainty remains highest.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once PepsiCo's next earnings call has concluded and statements can be verified. The outcome is determined by whether specific phrases or topics mentioned during the call match the market's predefined criteria. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources such as official call transcripts, recordings, or verified press coverage. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once verification is complete and the market settles.
Major catalysts include PepsiCo's quarterly financial performance, shifts in commodity or labor costs, regulatory developments affecting beverages or snacks, and management commentary in prior guidance or investor meetings. Broader market moves—such as changes in consumer spending, inflation data, or competitor announcements—can also reshape trader expectations about what executives will emphasize. As the earnings date draws closer, leaked guidance, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and social media sentiment may drive late trading activity. Finally, any unexpected company news or leadership changes could signal new priorities likely to surface during the call.