TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 10:14 AM EST
Kalshi
PepsiCo will hold an earnings call on June 29, 2026, where company representatives discuss financial performance and business operations. This event tracks whether specific words or phrases are mentioned during the call, including the Q&A session.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified term or phrase is spoken by any PepsiCo representative—including call operators—during the June 29, 2026 earnings call and Q&A session. Resolution uses video recordings as the primary source; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video, transcripts from established news publications serve as the secondary source. The exact word or phrase must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though other grammatical or tense variations are not required. Terms tracked include business-related concepts (Tariff, Volume, China, Acquisition), product attributes (Artificial Color, Healthy, Prebiotic), strategic initiatives (Food for Tomorrow, Away from Home), brand names and partnerships (Celsius, Gatik, Starbucks, Bubly), emerging topics (GLP-1, Autonomous), and marketing events (World Cup).
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than periodic published estimates. While analysts may issue quarterly guidance or commentary on PepsiCo's performance, traders in this market update odds dynamically based on new information, company filings, and market conditions. Prediction markets can sometimes anticipate analyst consensus shifts or reveal areas where the crowd disagrees with published research, making them a complementary signal for tracking expectations around earnings announcements.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes at real-time prices. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is quoted as a percentage probability between 0 and 100, with the price reflecting the collective assessment of what PepsiCo will say during their earnings call. Traders profit by correctly predicting the outcome, and the market price adjusts as new information emerges and positions shift, ensuring prices remain competitive and reflective of current expectations.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, after PepsiCo's earnings call has concluded and statements can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing actual remarks made during the call against the specific predictions offered in this market. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, including official company transcripts, press releases, or recorded call audio. Traders should monitor the earnings announcement date and time to understand when resolution becomes possible.
Key catalysts include PepsiCo's quarterly financial results, macroeconomic data affecting consumer spending, commodity price movements, and management commentary in advance of the call. Competitor announcements, regulatory developments, and shifts in consumer demand for beverages or snacks can also influence trader expectations. Media coverage, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and any pre-call guidance from company executives will likely trigger price movements. Additionally, broader market volatility or changes in investor sentiment toward the food and beverage sector may reshape odds as the earnings date approaches.