TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
kalshi

What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$228,304

Sovereign AI

 - Kalshi

Sovereign AI - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 5:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sovereign AI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,245
N/A
N/A
$13,386
4mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Nvidia

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,925
N/A
N/A
$10,916
4mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

International

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,062
N/A
N/A
$10,078
4mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Slop / AI Slop

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,714
N/A
N/A
$7,572
4mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Revenue Guidance

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,299
N/A
N/A
$6,463
4mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Maven

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,360
N/A
N/A
$3,892
4mo 2d
Yes
kalshi

Commercial Growth

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,365
N/A
N/A
$21,160
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Warp Speed

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,881
N/A
N/A
$6,726
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Government Contract

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,220
N/A
N/A
$12,281
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Israel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,740
N/A
N/A
$9,243
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

USDA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,641
N/A
N/A
$3,647
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Iran / Iranian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,503
N/A
N/A
$5,870
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Lethal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,677
N/A
N/A
$5,293
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Gotham Platform

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,789
N/A
N/A
$6,337
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Healthcare

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,768
N/A
N/A
$4,735
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Anthropic / Claude

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,492
N/A
N/A
$4,624
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

Automotive

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,037
N/A
N/A
$2,587
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,551
N/A
N/A
$2,347
4mo 2d
No
kalshi

NHS / National Health Service

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,033
N/A
N/A
$1,926
4mo 2d
No
Total markets: 19

Description

Palantir Technologies will hold an earnings call on August 3, 2026, where company representatives will discuss financial results and business updates with investors and analysts. This market tracks whether specific terms or phrases are mentioned during the call and Q&A session.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified term or phrase is mentioned by any Palantir Technologies Inc. representative during the August 3, 2026 earnings call, including the Q&A portion. The exact phrase, word, or grammatically inflected forms (plural or possessive) must be used; other grammatical or tense variations do not qualify. Resolution will be determined primarily through video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus using video, transcripts from recognized news publications will be consulted as the secondary source. Terms tracked include: USDA, Revenue Guidance, Lethal, Healthcare, Gotham Platform, Automotive, Iran/Iranian, International, Warp Speed, Nvidia, Government Contract, Commercial Growth, Israel, Maven, ICE/Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Anthropic/Claude, Slop/AI Slop, NHS/National Health Service, and Sovereign AI.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard shows the current odds and price history for the Palantir earnings call market, along with a live view of 24-hour volume of $154,232. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and market movement as the event approaches, helping users monitor how expectations shift in real time.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, including risks and scenarios that may not be fully captured in consensus estimates. While analysts provide detailed revenue and earnings guidance, traders in this market price in probabilities across many possible statement outcomes, sometimes showing higher or lower confidence depending on recent company performance and market sentiment.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds based on their expectations of what Palantir will say during the upcoming earnings call. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants, with price fluctuations driven by new information, analyst reports, and market sentiment leading up to Jan 30, 2027.

This market resolves around Jan 30, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once Palantir’s next earnings call is held and the verified transcript or official recording is publicly available. The specific statements made by company leadership during that call will determine which market outcome matches reality.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-earnings analyst updates, management commentary in interviews, unexpected revenue leaks, and broader market trends affecting tech stocks. Any indication of stronger or weaker guidance, new product announcements, or regulatory developments could also cause rapid price changes as traders adjust expectations ahead of the call.