TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 5:58 PM EST
Kalshi
Palantir Technologies will hold an earnings call on August 3, 2026, where company representatives will discuss financial results and business updates with investors and analysts. This market tracks whether specific terms or phrases are mentioned during the call and Q&A session.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified term or phrase is mentioned by any Palantir Technologies Inc. representative during the August 3, 2026 earnings call, including the Q&A portion. The exact phrase, word, or grammatically inflected forms (plural or possessive) must be used; other grammatical or tense variations do not qualify. Resolution will be determined primarily through video of the earnings call. If Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus using video, transcripts from recognized news publications will be consulted as the secondary source. Terms tracked include: USDA, Revenue Guidance, Lethal, Healthcare, Gotham Platform, Automotive, Iran/Iranian, International, Warp Speed, Nvidia, Government Contract, Commercial Growth, Israel, Maven, ICE/Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Anthropic/Claude, Slop/AI Slop, NHS/National Health Service, and Sovereign AI.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, including risks and scenarios that may not be fully captured in consensus estimates. While analysts provide detailed revenue and earnings guidance, traders in this market price in probabilities across many possible statement outcomes, sometimes showing higher or lower confidence depending on recent company performance and market sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds based on their expectations of what Palantir will say during the upcoming earnings call. The current implied probability reflects the collective view of participants, with price fluctuations driven by new information, analyst reports, and market sentiment leading up to Jan 30, 2027.
This market resolves around Jan 30, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once Palantir’s next earnings call is held and the verified transcript or official recording is publicly available. The specific statements made by company leadership during that call will determine which market outcome matches reality.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-earnings analyst updates, management commentary in interviews, unexpected revenue leaks, and broader market trends affecting tech stocks. Any indication of stronger or weaker guidance, new product announcements, or regulatory developments could also cause rapid price changes as traders adjust expectations ahead of the call.