TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether NVIDIA stock will reach or exceed $224 during the week of May 25, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that NVDA will hit this high price target during that week—stands at 64.0%. Resolution will be determined by intraday pricing data from Pyth Network. Traders should monitor NVIDIA's earnings announcements and broader semiconductor sector developments leading up to the week of May 29, 2026, as these factors will likely influence whether the stock reaches this threshold.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction about NVDA's price action in late May 2026, often incorporating forward-looking sentiment faster than traditional analyst consensus. While Wall Street equity researchers publish price targets and earnings estimates, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from active traders who face direct financial consequences for accuracy. The market odds represent a dynamic, crowd-sourced probability that may diverge from analyst consensus if traders anticipate catalysts, earnings surprises, or macroeconomic shifts that analysts have not yet fully priced in.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, marking the end of the specified week. Resolution is determined by whether NVDA's stock price reaches or exceeds the stated high target at any point during that trading week. The outcome is typically verified against official exchange data and historical price records to ensure accuracy and fairness. Once the resolution criteria are met or the deadline passes, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome.
Key catalysts include NVIDIA's quarterly earnings reports, data center demand trends, AI adoption announcements, and competitive developments in semiconductor markets. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate decisions, tech sector rotation, and geopolitical tensions affecting chip supply chains can also drive NVDA volatility. Product launches, guidance revisions, and major customer wins or losses would shift trader expectations about price momentum. Broader market corrections or rallies in the Nasdaq and semiconductor indices may influence NVDA's trajectory toward the price target by May 25, 2026.