TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
During a televised interview, Benjamin Netanyahu may reference various geopolitical topics and strategies. The specific phrases he uses can indicate his priorities, concerns, and the broader context of international relations at the time of the broadcast.
The event centers on whether Benjamin Netanyahu, speaking in an official capacity during the Fox News: Hannity broadcast, utters any of several specified phrases or their grammatical variants. Each market corresponds to a specific phrase or set of related phrases (e.g., "Trump", "Hormuz", "Lebanon", etc.). Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the live broadcast or stream; if video review yields no consensus among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used. The exact phrase, its plural or possessive form, or grammatical/tense inflections (where applicable) must appear in the broadcast for the market to resolve as Yes. Only content included in the original broadcast or stream counts—advertisements, promotional material during the event, and previously aired content or archival footage are excluded. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond rescheduling within 14 days, or Netanyahu fails to meet the official speaking requirement (e.g., inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements), the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the Netanyahu Hannity remarks market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing reflects aggregated trader sentiment about what Netanyahu is likely to emphasize, with market depth and liquidity influencing how swiftly prices adjust to new information. Volume of $101,186 provides insight into trader engagement, while recent 24-hour volume of $101,186 shows short-term interest spikes. As the event approaches, expect tighter spreads and more pronounced price movements reflecting real-time analysis of pre-event news coverage and political commentary.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific content of the remarks, as broadcast or transcribed by major news outlets, will determine which market outcome matches reality. No further interpretation beyond publicly available records is needed for settlement.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 12, 2026. Key catalysts include pre-event interviews or statements by Netanyahu or Hannity, unexpected geopolitical developments involving Israel, and media coverage framing the anticipated discussion topics. Trader reactions to polling data, diplomatic activity, or political pressure could also create volatility. As the broadcast date nears, real-time news feeds and analyst predictions will heavily influence market sentiment, potentially causing rapid price adjustments based on perceived shifts in likely remarks.