TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 3 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 3 2026?

Volume:
$73,081

Above $2.599

 - Kalshi

Above $2.599 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2.599

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,994
N/A
N/A
$3,892
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $2.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $2.80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.499

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$744
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.499

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.599

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.699

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.799

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.099

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.199

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.299

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $1.399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $0.999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.699

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,700
N/A
N/A
$3,704
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.799

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,556
N/A
N/A
$4,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $2.999

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,547
N/A
N/A
$8,176
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $3.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,693
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.60

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $3.099

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,347
N/A
N/A
$2,347
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $3.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $2.90

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.50

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $4.899

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
$1,029
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 54

Description

This event group tracks whether Natural Gas (NG) prices will reach specific thresholds during the week of August 3, 2026. The markets differ in their precise criteria for resolution, including whether they consider closing prices or highs/lows, and the specific price thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement criteria: Polymarket uses ANY high price during the week, while Kalshi uses the closing price on a specific date.Hero tip: Focus on the specific platform's rules before trading. Polymarket markets resolve based on any high during the week, while Kalshi markets resolve based on the closing price on August 7, 2026.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves if ANY 1-minute candle's HIGH reaches or exceeds the listed price during trading sessions of the week of August 3 2026. Uses Pyth data for Active Month Natural Gas futures.
  • Kalshi: Resolves if the CLOSE price of the NGDU6 contract on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above the listed price. Uses NGDU6 contract close price.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of August 3 2026?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas using the NGDU6 contract at 5:00 PM EDT on August 07, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold price; if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Settlement uses the nearest listed contract month, switching to the next contract five business days before the current contract's last trading day. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest three decimal places and represents the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. If no data is published for the specified time, the most recently available published data is used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the aggregated outlook across platforms for the Natural Gas price market, showing how traders on Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of different price movements. It displays current odds, volume of $73,081, and 24-hour volume of $24,378, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment as the week of August 3 approaches.